Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Baltimore Orioles and Boston Red Sox kick off their 2023 seasons with a Thursday matchup in Fenway Park. First pitch is set for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First of 13 meetings in 2023; Boston won last year’s season series 10-9.

Baltimore finished last season 83-79 and 4th in the AL East, 16 games behind the 1st-place New York Yankees. Their record last year was greatly improved from a 52-110 record in 2021.

The Red Sox finished 78-84 last season, 5th in the AL East and 5 games behind the Orioles. Boston took a major step back after  a 92-70 mark and 2nd-place finish in 2021.

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Orioles at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Kyle Gibson vs. RHP Corey Kluber

Gibson went 10-8 with a 5.05 ERA last year. He had a 1.336 WHIP, 2.58 BB/9 and 7.73 K/9 in 167.2 IP.

  • Was 2-1 in 5 March/April starts with a 2.93 ERA and 1.084 WHIP
  • In 13 road starts last season he was 3-4 with a 5.79 ERA and 1.408 WHIP

Kluber went 10-10 with a 4.34 ERA last year, posting a 1.213 WHIP and 1.15 BB/9 and 7.63 K/9 in 164 IP.

  • Was 1-1 in 4 March/April starts with a 3.05 ERA and 1.161 WHIP
  • In 15 starts at home last year, he went 7-3 with a 3.71 ERA and 1.088 WHIP

Orioles at Red Sox odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 10:39 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Orioles +105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Red Sox -125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-180) | Red Sox -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -111 | U: -109)

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Orioles at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 5, Orioles 3

Moneyline

BET RED SOX -125.

Boston was 6-0 in its last 6 home games last season and 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a right-handed starter. The Orioles struggled at the end vs. Boston, going 1-5 in the last 6 meetings and 1-4 in the last 5 games in Boston. Look for Boston to come out hot on Opening Day vs. this divisional rival.

Run line/Against the spread

LEAN RED SOX -1.5 (+155).

Seven of the last 10 meetings last year were decided by 2 or more runs, with the Red Sox winning 4 of the 7. The Red Sox will have the advantage as the home team and recent history suggests they should be the slight lean here.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 9 (-110).

In 6 of the last 10 meetings between these teams the final score was Under 9 total runs, the Under during that stretch was also 6-4. The Under is also 5-1 in Baltimore’s last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.

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