Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Baltimore Orioles (89-51) and Boston Red Sox (72-69) play game 2 of a 3-game series at Fenway Park Saturday. First pitch is slated for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Fanduel Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 4-3

The Orioles picked up a  6th straight victory with a 7-2 win in the series opener Friday. Baltimore is in the midst of a 9-game road trip where it has outscored its opponents 49 to 24 through 7 games and has improved to 47-25 away from Camden Yards this season.

Boston began a 7-game homestand Friday. That was the Red Sox’s 6th loss in their last 7 games at Fenway Park. They’ve allowed 7 runs per game over that 8-game span at Fenway and are 36-34 at home on the season.

Orioles at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Jack Flaherty vs. LHP Chris Sale

Flaherty (8-8, 4.84 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.55 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 134 innings for the Orioles and St. Louis Cardinals.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 8-5 road loss vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Sunday
  • Has never started against the Red Sox
  • 2023 road stats: 4-4, 4.39 ERA (82 IP, 40 ER), .287 opponent batting average (OBA) in 15 starts

Sale (6-3, 4.46 ERA) will make his 17th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 in 82 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 7-3 road win vs. Kansas City Royals Sunday
  • 2023 vs. Orioles: 0-1, 13.50 ERA (8 IP, 12 ER), 2 HR, 3 BB, 6 K in 2 starts
  • 2023 home stats: 0-1, 3.96 ERA (36 1/3 IP, 16 ER), .212 OBA in 7 starts

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Orioles at Red Sox odds

Provided by Fanduel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:35 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Orioles +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Red Sox -142 (bet $142 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-164) | Red Sox -1.5 (+136)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: +100 | U: -122)

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Orioles at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 7, Red Sox 4

Moneyline

BET ORIOLES (+120).

Everything is working for the Orioles right now. Baltimore has notched 6 straight road wins, so obviously being away from Charm City does not matter at this point. Baltimore is scoring 7 runs per game on a 7-game road trip.

Sale has been owned by the Orioles this season only making it through 8 innings over 2 starts giving up 12 earned runs.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I am confident that the Orioles will cover this run line but I’m not going to bet it at -164 odds. Focus your bet on the moneyline.

Over/Under

AVOID.

If I had a lean, it would be to the Over, but I don’t have a good feeling either way. In their 7 games played against each other this season, they have gone Over this total in 5 of them.

This bet will come down to whether Chris Sale can keep the Orioles’ offense in check.

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