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The Baltimore Orioles (83-50) open a 3-game road series against the Arizona Diamondbacks (69-65) Friday. First pitch from Chase Field is at 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting since the Diamondbacks won 2 of 3 games in 2019
The Orioles come in having won 9 of their last 11 games. They lost 10-5 to the Chicago White Sox on Wednesday in the finale of a 3-game series. Baltimore leads the AL East by 1 1/2 games.
The Diamondbacks were swept in a 3-game series on the road to the Los Angeles Dodgers to start the week. Arizona had won 7 of 8 games entering that series, but following the sweep it finds itself 1 game back of the final NL Wild Card.
Orioles at Diamondbacks projected starters
LHP Cole Irvin vs. RHP Zach Davies
Irvin (1-3, 4.78 ERA) makes his 12th start and 20th appearance. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 64 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 5-4 home win vs. Colorado Rockies last Friday
- Had 2.25 ERA over 3 starts and 3 relief appearances in August
Davies (1-5, 6.93 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.60 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 62 1/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 8-7 home loss to Cincinnati Reds Saturday
- The Diamondbacks are 1-7 in his last 8 starts
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Orioles at Diamondbacks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:21 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Orioles -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Diamondbacks -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles -1.5 (+140) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Orioles at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 6, Diamondbacks 4
Moneyline
Arizona was just waxed in 3 games by one of the best teams in the NL. The Orioles are the best team in the AL and are 41-24 on the road.
The Orioles are 12-4 in their last 16 games.
Baltimore (-115) on the moneyline isn’t bad at all, but 9 of its last 11 wins have been by 2 or more runs, which makes the plus odds on the run line a better bet.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
The Orioles are 81-52 ATS this season, 2nd in baseball only to the Reds at 84-51 ATS.
They are 7-5 ATS in their last 12 games but have won by at least 2 runs in 9 of their last 11 victories.
Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
BET ORIOLES -1.5 (+140).
Over/Under
Four of Arizona’s last 6 games have had at least 10 total runs.
Three of Davies’ last 4 outings have had double-digit totals.
The Orioles have scored 5 or more in 7 of their last 8 games.
BET OVER 9.5 (-110)
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