Atletico Madrid hosts Manchester City at the Wanda Metropolitano Stadium Wednesday for the second leg of the UEFA Champions League quarterfinals. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the Atletico Madrid vs. Manchester City odds and lines, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.
Last week, Atletico traveled to Etihad Stadium to take on Manchester City in the first leg. City ended with 15 shots and 2 on target while not allowing Atletico to have a single attempt.
City controlled the entire game and ended with a 70/30 possession split. It was a dominant showing from the home side, but it won just 1-0, a result that Atletico can certainly come back from.
Atletico sits 4th in La Liga play and is coming off a 1-0 loss to Mallorca, which sits 17th on the table. This season, Atletico has scored 57 goals and allowed 38 in 31 league matches.
As for City, it is coming off an absolutely thrilling 2-2 draw with Liverpool. M Kevin de Bruyne and F Gabriel Jesus both scored for City, which almost doubled Liverpool’s shots. City has allowed just 20 goals through 31 EPL matches.
Atletico Madrid vs. Manchester City: Odds, picks and predictions
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 8:15 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Atletico Madrid +370 (bet $100 to win $370) | Manchester City -127 (bet $127 to win $100) | Draw +260
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)
[tipico]
Prediction
Manchester City 1, Atletico Madrid 1
Money line (ML)
LEAN to the DRAW +260.
Manchester City looked dominant in its first showing, and it, by all means, should be able to get through to the next round, but it won’t be as easy on the road.
In 16 road games, Madrid has 24 points. In 15 home games, it has 33. It has been a far better side at home. That should be reflected in its play against City.
Atletico is a better club than it showed in the first leg. It eliminated Man U to start the knockout round.
While zero shots are concerning, at home, the only way to play this is the draw as betting on either Man City on the road or both teams not to score doesn’t result in nearly enough bang for your buck.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET the UNDER 2.5 (-130).
There’s no other way to look at this.
Man City played a 2-2 draw with Liverpool because it couldn’t tame the elite attacking trio. While I expect a better showing from Madrid, it certainly isn’t on the same level as Liverpool.
4 of Madrid’s last 5 games throughout all competition went under 2.5 goals. All 3 Champions League knockout-stage games went under 3 goals as well with 2 of those 3 being just 1-0 results.
City has gone Under 2.5 goals in 6 of its last 9 games as well, including 2 of its 3 Champions League knockout stage games. Overall, it’s the better side of the total, especially at this value.
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