The No. 8 seed Atlanta Hawks (0-1) continue their first-round playoff series with the No. 1 seed Miami Heat (1-0) Tuesday at the FTX Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we look at the Hawks vs. Heat odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
Miami beat the brakes off of Atlanta 115-91 Sunday in Game 1, outscoring the Hawks in each of the first three quarters and the Heat’s biggest lead was 32 points.
The Heat neutralized Hawks All-Star PG Trae Young, who was 1-for-12 from the field (0-for-7 from threes), and forced 6 turnovers to Young’s 4 assists. On the other hand, Miami got whatever it wanted, shooting 52.4% and 47.4% from behind the arc.
Hawks at Heat odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:13 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Hawks +265 (bet $100 to win $265) | Heat -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Hawks +7.5 (-112) | Heat -7.5 (-108)
- Over/Under: 219.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)
Hawks at Heat key injuries
Hawks
- SG Bogdan Bogdanovich (ankle) probable
- C Clint Capela (knee) out
Heat
- PF Bam Adebayo (quadriceps) questionable
- C Dewayne Dedmon (ankle) questionable
- PF P.J. Tucker (calf) questionable
- SG Gabe Vincent (toe) probable
[tipico]
Hawks at Heat picks and predictions
Prediction
Heat 114, Hawks 103
Money line
PASS
Even though the Heat should win this handily, Miami (-350) is way out of my price range.
The loss of Capela is huge for the Hawks (+265) and Miami is the best 3-point team in the NBA by offensive and defensive 3-point shooting differential. But I’m confident enough in the Heat to go with their spread instead of spending on the pricey ML.
PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!
Against the spread
TAKE the HEAT -7.5 (-108) because the Hawks +7.5 (-112) are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 visits to Miami and Young has struggled in South Beach throughout his career. He is averaging just 17.4 points on 36.9% shooting (26.7% from 3) with 5.4 turnovers in 9 career games in Miami.
Also, Atlanta is 4-16 ATS on the road versus teams with a winning record and 2-7 ATS as 5-to-9.5-point underdogs while Miami is clicking at the right time and is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 games.
Furthermore, the Heat were fourth in defensive rating over the regular season and the Hawks are 2-12 straight up versus top-10 defenses with a minus-6.7 adjusted net rating and a minus-3.0 ATS differential, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.
BET the HEAT -7.5 (-105).
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 219.5 (-115) since the presumed sharp side of the market is projecting a lower-scoring game, both teams are ranked 20th in pace or slower, Atlanta is 0-9 O/U in the last 9 games as an underdog and all four of the referees assigned to this game have officiated more Unders than Overs.
However, the total has been increased from the 217-point opener so perhaps oddsmakers are trying to induce more Under action and both teams are top-10 in offensive FT/FGA rate.
Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!
If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.
Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Additional NBA sports coverage:
HoopsHype | Celtics Wire | LeBron Wire | Lonzo Wire | Nets Wire | Rockets Wire | Sixers Wire | Thunder Wire | Warriors Wire | Rookie Wire | List Wire
Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1622]