Atlanta Hawks at Detroit Pistons odds, picks and predictions

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The Detroit Pistons (3-6) welcome the Atlanta Hawks (4-5) to Little Caesars Arena Friday. Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Hawks vs. Pistons odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Hawks swept 3-0 last season

The Hawks beat the New York Knicks 121-116 Wednesday as 7-point home underdogs.

Atlanta has rebounded after a 4-game losing streak, which had left it at 2-4 on the season. It has won 2 of its last 3 games. The Hawks have struggled immensely to cover, though, and even went 0-6 against the spread (ATS) to open the season. They are 2-7 ATS overall and 1-2 ATS on the road. They are led by G Trae Young, who is averaging 23.8 points per game.

The Pistons lost to the Charlotte Hornets 108-107 on the road Wednesday as 1.5-point favorites. They had won their previous 2 games, beating the Brooklyn Nets 106-92 Sunday and the Los Angeles Lakers 115-103 Monday.

Detroit is just 1-3 straight up at home this season and 2-2 ATS. It has averaged 111 points over its last 2 games, a sharp increase over its offensive success to start the season. The Pistons are led by G Cade Cunningham, who is averaging 22.9 points per game.

Hawks at Pistons odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated Thursday at 8:50 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Hawks -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Pistons -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
Against the spread: Hawks -1.5 (-105) | Pistons +1.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 225.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Hawks at Pistons key injuries

Hawks

G Bogdan Bogdanovic (hamstring) out
F De’Andre Hunter (knee) out

Pistons

C Jalen Duren (ankle) doubtful
F Ausar Thompson (reconditioning) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Hawks at Pistons picks and predictions

Prediction

Pistons 120, Hawks 116

Moneyline

BET PISTONS (-105).

The key here is efficiency. Both teams are led by guards, but the Pistons have been far more effective this season. Their top 3 guards are all shooting 47% or better from the field, while Young is shooting 38.4%.

The Pistons have picked up the pace as of late and won 2 of their last 3, even beating the Lakers, who should be a contending team this season. Atlanta has won 2 of its last 3, but has a road loss to the Washington Wizards and is 1-2 straight up/ATS on the road.

Considering those trends, back PISTONS (-105).

Against the spread

PASS.

The moneyline and spread are so similar in this one that it really is a toss up. The thought process for avoiding the spread is that the outright play for the Pistons to win is better than taking them as slight underdogs at worse odds.

However, either is playable in this scenario.

Over/Under

BET OVER 225.5 (-115).

The Hawks play at one of the fastest paces in the league and really don’t play much defense, which is why they are 8-1 O/U. They have gone Over in all 3 road matches, allowing at least 111 points in each and 128 or more in 2 of the 3.

The Pistons are 2-7 O/U, but they are 2-2 O/U at Little Caesars Arena and have scored 109 or more points in 3 of 4 home games. Since both teams feature numerous capable scoring guards, expect a quick pace and high scores.

Back OVER 225.5 (-115).

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