The Atlanta Hawks (31-32) visit Little Caesars Arena Monday to take on the Detroit Pistons (17-47). Tip is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Hawks vs. Pistons odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
The Hawks have alternated covering and not covering the spread over their last 6 games, having gone 5-5 against the spread (ATS) over their last 10. Atlanta is 28-35 ATS on the season.
The Hawks have struggled this season, sitting 10th in the Eastern Conference. They’re led by G Trae Young, who averages 28 points and 9.3 assists per game.
As for the Pistons, while they sit 14th in the East, they’re 33-31 ATS on the season and are 15-12 ATS as a home underdog.
Detroit has been on fire recently, covering 7 straight games and winning 5 of them outright. The Pistons are led by F Jerami Grant, who is scoring 19.0 points per game.
Hawks at Pistons odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Hawks -350 (bet $350 to win $100) | Pistons +265 (bet $100 to win $265)
- Against the spread (ATS): Hawks -7.5 (-108) | Pistons +7.5 (-112)
- Over/Under (O/U): 227.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Hawks at Pistons key injuries
Hawks
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G Kevin Huerter (shoulder) questionable
Pistons
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G Hamidou Diallo (non-Covid illness) questionable
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Hawks at Pistons odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Hawks 119, Pistons 113
Money line
PASS.
I wouldn’t bet Atlanta -350. That’s far too pricey for a road team as inconsistent as the Hawks. Atlanta is just 12-19 straight up on the road. I’d lean towards the points for value in this matchup.
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Against the spread
“LEAN” on the PISTONS +7.5 (-112).
The Pistons have been covering at too high of a rate to bet against. Having covered 7 straight and having been profitable as a home underdog this season makes this the better side of the spread.
Also, No. 1 overall pick G Cade Cunningham is starting to figure it out, averaging 20.4 points, 8.0 rebounds and 4.9 assists per game over his last 7 performances.
Atlanta has not been a good covering team when road favorites either, just 4-7 ATS in that scenario. The Hawks are just 6-8 ATS since Jan. 31, so this recent stretch of hot-and-cold performances has been their rhythm as of late.
Taking on a team that covers at a high rate while the road isn’t a situation that’ll bode well for Atlanta. Considering Detroit has the worst net rating in the league, I only lean to them despite this being a favorable position.
Over/Under
BET on the OVER 227.5 (-110).
This is my favorite bet in the game.
The Hawks sit 2nd in offensive rating with the Pistons 25th in defensive rating. Also, the Young-Capela pick and roll should give Detroit fits as starting C Isaiah Stewart stands just 6-foot-8.
Atlanta is No. 1 in turnover rate and No. 7 in true shooting percentage, both of which will bode well for the Over, especially against a team that ranks in the bottom 10 in defensive efficiency.
Both teams also sit in the top 20 in pace as well with the Pistons 15th and Hawks 18th on the season. The Hawks are 35-28 O/U this season and 7-3 O/U over their last 10.
Detroit is 5-3-2 O/U over its last 10 and has gone over 110 in 3 of its last 4 games. The Pistons have proven they can hang around offensively, and they’ll have to do just that against Atlanta.
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