Atlanta Falcons vs. Jacksonville Jaguars odds, picks and predictions

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The Atlanta Falcons (2-1) face the Jacksonville Jaguars (1-2) in the first game of the NFL’s International Series Sunday. Kickoff from Wembley Stadium in London is set for 9:30 a.m. ET (ESPN+; Disney+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Jaguars vs. Falcons odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Falcons fell 20-6 last week against the Lions, failing to cover as 3-point road underdogs. QB Desmond Ridder was just 21 of 38 for 201 passing yards while RB Bijan Robinson carried the ball 10 times for just 33 yards in the Falcons’ dismal offensive day. The Lions sacked Ridder 7 times, while the Falcons’ defense did not get to Lions’ QB Jared Goff at all.

Since winning their 1st game of the season, the Jaguars find themselves on a 2-game losing streak after falling 37-17 to the Texans last Sunday and failing to cover as 7.5-point home favorites. QB Trevor Lawrence went 27 of 40 for 279 passing yards with a touchdown and interception against Houston, while RB Travis Etienne Jr. had 88 yards on 19 carries. It was the Jacksonville defense that struggled most, allowing 17 points before halftime and at least a touchdown in every quarter.

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Falcons vs. Jaguars odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:21 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Falcons +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Jaguars -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Falcons +3 (+100) | Jaguars -3 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 42.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Falcons vs. Jaguars key injuries

Falcons

RB Cordarrelle Patterson (thigh) questionable

Jaguars

WR Jamal Agnew (quad) questionable
DT Foley Fatukasi (shoulder) questionable
OL Anton Harrison (ankle) questionable
WR Zay Jones (knee) out
LB Devin Lloyd (thumb) out

Falcons vs. Jaguars picks and predictions

Prediction

Jaguars 20, Falcons 16

Moneyline

PASS.

While the Jaguars (-175) should come out victorious, there are better odds playing the spread, which is suggested below.

Against the spread

BET JAGUARS -3 (-120).

It’s apparent by looking at the injury report that the Jaguars are banged up, but they have performed well on offense so far this season excluding Week 2 against a tough Chiefs defense. In the other 2 games, they scored 31 and 17 points respectively and their ability to put the ball in the endzone is what will give them the advantage. The defense has had its struggles, but expect them to recalibrate against a young Falcons offense that is still searching for a true identity.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 42.5 (-110).

Both of these teams, while arriving earlier this week in London, will be jetlagged. Neither team holds true home-field advantage and neither is able to prepare as it would in a traditional home or away game. Expect points, but not enough to fuel the Over. The key on both sides will be to stop the rush early to clog up the passing game for both young QBs. Both teams have run-heavy offenses that should keep the clock rolling.

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