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The Atlanta Falcons (2-2) are on the road in Week 5 to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-2) in an NFC South divisional matchup on Sunday. Kickoff is 1 p.m. ET at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Falcons vs. Buccaneers odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Falcons, after dropping their first 2 games of the season, have won 2 straight, 27-23 over the Seahawks and 23-20 over the Browns. They rushed for 202 yards and 2 touchdowns in the win over Cleveland. QB Marcus Mariota has thrown 3 touchdown passes and 4 interceptions so far this season.
The Bucs’ defense was shredded by Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs in Week 4, a 41-31 defeat Sunday night. QB Tom Brady was fantastic, passing for 385 yards and 3 touchdowns, but they didn’t get into the end zone until they were trailing 21-3 and never could get within 1 score.
Also see: All Week 5 odds and lines
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Falcons at Buccaneers odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 12:20 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Falcons +380 (bet $100 to win $380) | Buccaneers -500 (bet $500 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Falcons +9.5 (-101) | Buccaneers -9.5 (-120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Falcons at Buccaneers key injuries
Falcons
- TE Kyle Pitts (hamstring) out
Buccaneers
- TE Cameron Brate (concussion) out
- WR Russell Gage (back) questionable
- WR Julio Jones (knee) questionable
- WR Breshad Perriman (knee, hamstring) questionable
- S Logan Ryan (foot) out
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Falcons at Buccaneers picks and predictions
Prediction
Buccaneers 27, Falcons 20
Moneyline
The Bucs have beaten the Falcons 4 straight times. They have the better quarterback and the better defense. They are playing at home.
Atlanta is missing Pitts, and RB Cordarrelle Patterson is on injured reserve with a knee injury.
The Bucs should win this game, but PASS on the moneyline because you only get $0.20 on every dollar you wager. It’s not worth it.
Against the spread
The Falcons have covered the spread in every game this season. They have scored no fewer than 23 points in any game and average 25.8. While only getting 9 carries last week out of Patterson before he got hurt, RBs Tyler Allgeier and Caleb Huntley led the way to over 200 rushing yards as a team against the Browns.
Tampa has allowed 4.3 yards per rush so far this season.
Atlanta’s offense will keep things close, but Brady and the Bucs will be able to stay ahead of them with their offensive attack. I don’t like the Falcons to win, but with almost a double-digit spread, I think it will be a one-score affair.
Take the FALCONS +9.5 (-101).
Over/Under
The Falcons have had totals of 50 points or more in 3 of their 4 games this season. In the last 8 matchups between the teams, the lowest total was 47 points.
Take OVER 45.5 (-115).
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