The Atlanta Falcons (4-10) visit the Kansas City Chiefs (13-1) for their penultimate game of the 2020 season. The Chiefs, meanwhile, have already clinched the AFC West crown and can secure a first-round playoff bye with a win. Kickoff at Arrowhead Stadium will be at 1 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the Falcons-Chiefs betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.
Falcons at Chiefs: Betting odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 3:25 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Falcons +425 (bet $100 to win $425) | Chiefs -550 (bet $550 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Falcons +10.5 (-110) | Chiefs -10.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 54.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Falcons at Chiefs: Game notes
- The Chiefs have won nine straight games since a surprising 40-32 home loss to the rival Las Vegas Raiders in Week 5. It’s their only loss since Week 10 of their Super Bowl-winning 2019 campaign.
- The Falcons won three of their first four games under interim head coach Raheem Morris, but they’ve since lost four of five. They’re currently slated for the No. 8 pick of the 2021 NFL Draft.
- Kansas City is just 7-7 against the spread. It wins by an average of 8.9 points per game but covers by just 0.9 PPG while routinely faced with large spreads. Atlanta is 6-8 ATS but covers by an average of 1.4 PPG.
- The Chiefs are also 7-7 against the Over/Under. The Falcons are 6-8 against the number.
- Kansas City has the top-ranked offense in the NFL by Football Outsiders’ DVOA. The Chiefs are also No. 1 in yards per play and fourth in points per play. Atlanta is 19th in yards per play and 18th in points per play.
- Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes is BetMGM‘s favorite to be named the 2020 AP MVP at -300.
Falcons at Chiefs: Key injuries
Falcons
- S Ricardo Allen (concussion) questionable
- C James Carpenter (groin) questionable
- CB Darqueze Dennard (quadriceps) questionable
- LB Deion Jones (toe) questionable
- WR Julio Jones (hamstring) doubtful
- C Alex Mack (concussion) questionable
- S Keanu Neal (hamstring) questionable
Chiefs
- RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire (ankle) out
- WR Tyreek Hill (hamstring) questionable
- LB Anthony Hitchens (COVID-19) questionable
- LB Damien Wilson (knee) questionable
Falcons at Chiefs: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Chiefs 37, Falcons 20
Money line (?)
The Chiefs (-550) are rightfully commanding favorites at home against a Falcons team having lost three straight games. The cost is just too prohibitive. Make it a challenge for the Chiefs and back them on the spread.
PASS.
Against the spread (?)
Atlanta’s last three losses have come by margins of just 5, 3 and 4 points. The Falcons held halftime leads against both the Los Angeles Chargers and Tampa Bay Buccaneers but have struggled late in games all season.
On the other side, KC has seemingly been able to coast to victories and hasn’t won by more than one score since beating the lowly New York Jets 35-9 in Week 8.
The CHIEFS -10.5 (-110) will buck the trends with a statement win to clinch the AFC’s top seed and Mahomes’ second regular-season MVP crown.
Over/Under (?)
The Atlanta offense tends to start strong but is far too one dimensional to hang with the champs for 60 minutes. The Falcons will do enough to help send this OVER 54.5 (-110), but the hosts will carry the scoring in a rout.
Want action on this NFL game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
Also see:
- Falcons Twitter takes hard pass on Lewis for head coach (Falcons Wire)
- Mathieu thinks KC defense hasn’t yet played their best game (Chiefs Wire)
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