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The Atlanta Dream and the New York Liberty play Game 2 of their 1st-round best-of-3 series Tuesday. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s WNBA odds around the Dream vs. Liberty odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.
Playoff series: Liberty lead 1-0; won regular-season series 3-1
The Liberty posted an 83-69 victory in Game 1 on Sunday. New York shot 43.3% (29-of-67) from the field, while hitting 34.8% (8-of-23) from behind the 3-point line and going 94.4% (17-of-18) from the free-throw line.
New York had 4 starters go for double-digit points, with rookie F Leonie Fiebich as the unlikely leader with 21 points on 7-of-8 shooting. She was 4-of-4 from behind the 3-point line, too. F Breanna Stewart posted 20 points with 11 rebounds and 3 blocked shots in 32 minutes.
The Dream was just 39.7% (27-of-68) from the field, 18.8% (3-of-16) from behind the 3-point line, and a dismal 63.2% (12-of-19) from the charity stripe. That was the difference, as it was actually just minus-1 in rebounding, while both teams blocked 5 shots with 14 turnovers.
Dream at Liberty odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:27 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Dream +650 (bet $100 to win $650) | Liberty -1000 (bet $1,000 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Dream +12.5 (-105) | Liberty -12.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 156.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Dream at Liberty picks and predictions
Prediction
Liberty 82, Dream 73
Moneyline
The Liberty (-1000) will cost you 10 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not enough reward. In other words, you would need to risk $100 for every $10 of profit, and that’s not a good long-term betting strategy.
The Dream (+650) played the Liberty pretty tough in Game 1, including in the rebounding, steals, blocked shots and turnovers categories. However, it was shooting that crushed the Dream. If they’re a little better, and the Liberty aren’t on fire, who knows? Perhaps we could have an upset in Game 2.
AVOID.
Against the spread
The DREAM +12.5 (-105) is a strong play in Game 2. It could very well be their final game, but Atlanta will go hard and make the Liberty -12.5 (-115) work for it.
A lot of the counting stats were fairly even in Game 1. Atlanta shouldn’t be as poor from the field, downtown and from the free-throw line as they were in the series opener, especially with its season on the line.
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Over/Under
UNDER 156.5 (-110) is the lean in Game 2. We have seen the Under cashed in each of the past 3 meetings in New York. The losing team in the past 5 meetings has gone for 75 or fewer points, too.
Atlanta will be playing its hearts out on defense, desperately trying to keep its season alive. Look for a lower-scoring battle.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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