The Atlanta Braves (95-58) and Washington Nationals (53-99) open a 3-game set Monday. First pitch from Nationals Park is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Atlanta leads 12-4; the Braves are 26-9 over their last 35 games against the Nationals
The Braves are coming off a 2-2 split at the Philadelphia Phillies over the weekend. Atlanta is 20-10 over its last 30 games but is just 6-8 over its last 14 on the road. In a tight series played in Atlanta last week (Monday-Wednesday), the Braves took 2-of-3 games from the Nationals.
The Nationals are just 5-12 since Sept. 6. Washington scored 6 runs in a Sunday win over the Miami Marlins. That comes after a 6-game stretch that saw the Nats score just 1.83 runs per game.
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Braves at Nationals projected starters
RHP Bryce Elder vs. RHP Cory Abbott
Elder (1-3, 3.38 ERA) has appeared in 8 games and made 7 starts. He owns a 1.33 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 through 40 IP.
- Has yielded just 2 ER over his last 18 2/3 IP, which includes allowing 1 ER over 5 2/3 IP against the Nats Wednesday
- Has pitched most of this season at Triple-A, where he has logged a 4.46 ERA over 105 IP
Abbott (0-3, 4.85 ERA) owns a 1.39 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 39 IP over 14 games (7 starts).
- Allowed 4 runs in as many innings at the Braves last Monday
- Owns a 3.27 ERA and 1.18 WHIP at home
Braves at Nationals odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:13 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Braves -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Nationals +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -2.5 (+100) | Nationals +2.5 (-120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)
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Braves at Nationals picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 6, Nationals 4
Money line
Washington is a profitable 9-12 this season when tabbed as a +230-or-worse underdog, but it’s a bit short of that mark as of publication. With the way the Nats played Atlanta last week, the home side is worth a line watch here.
Take the Nationals if the price reaches +245, there would be value there.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
With a likable Over, PASS on trying to get by with a Washington plus play.
Over/Under
Both starting pitchers have logged some favorable batting averages on balls in play, and that has their surface ERAs artificially tamped down a bit. Both bullpens could also use an off day.
TAKE THE OVER 8.5 (-120).
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