Atlanta Braves at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Atlanta Braves at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Atlanta Braves (87-52) and Seattle Mariners (78-61) meet Sunday at 4:10 p.m. ET as they wrap up a 3-game interleague series at T-Mobile Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: tied 1-1

The Braves had an 8-game win streak snapped with a 3-1 loss in Saturday’s game. The setback marked only Atlanta’s third in its last 16 road games.

The Mariners have pitched themselves to a 11-4 mark since Aug. 25. Seattle has logged a tidy 1.88 ERA over that surge.

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Braves at Mariners projected starters

RHP Jake Odorizzi vs. LHP Marco Gonzales

Odorizzi (5-5, 3.90 ERA) owns a 1.24 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 through 85 1/3 IP across 17 starts.

  • A fly-ball hurler who has benefited by a low 9.3% of fly balls being hit for home runs
  • Has a 2.25 ERA over his last 5 starts against Seattle (2021-22)
  • Owns a 3.66 ERA on the road in 2022

Gonzales (10-13, 3.98 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 4.9 K/9 through 153 2/3 IP.

  • Owns a 4.87 ERA over his last 7 starts
  • Has clocked a 3.12 ERA over his last 4 home starts and has a 3.49 ERA at home for the season

Braves at Mariners odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:07 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Braves -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Mariners +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+130) | Mariners +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Braves at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 6, Mariners 4

Money line

With the way Atlanta bangs around lefty pitching (.809 OPS) and the way Odorizzi has pitched against Seattle, the Braves are a moderate lean at this price.

BACK THE BRAVES (-130).

Run line/Against the spread

The Braves have won 7 of their last 9 series finales. Six of the 7 wins were by multiple runs.

Figure a lesser lean here: if pairing with the above play, consider a 75% ML-25% RL mix.

TAKE ATLANTA -1.5 (+130).

Over/Under

Both starters are toting around expected ERAs higher than their surface numbers. The same applied to both bullpens, although more so against their recent surface numbers.

Seattle won a 3-1 pitchers’ duel on Saturday. The Mariners averaged 5.20 runs per game over their 10 games prior; the Braves averaged 5.10 RPG over their 10 games prior.

BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-107).

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