Atlanta Braves at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Atlanta Braves at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Atlanta Braves (87-51) and Seattle Mariners (77-61) clash Saturday at 9:10 p.m. ET as they continue a 3-game interleague series at T-Mobile Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Atlanta won Friday’s game 6-4 and leads 1-0

The Braves have won 8 contests in a row. Atlanta has been a fine road team of late, going 13-2 across its last 15 away from home.

The Mariners have pitched themselves to a 10-4 mark since Aug. 25. Seattle has logged a minuscule 2.01 ERA over that surge, and that includes yielding 15 runs over its last 2 games.

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Braves at Mariners projected starters

LHP Max Fried vs. RHP George Kirby

Fried (13-5, 2.48 ERA) is making his 27th start. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 163 1/3 IP.

  • Coming off 5 scoreless innings against the Miami Marlins Sunday and owns a 2.05 ERA over his last 7 starts
  • Excels in limiting hard contact: has allowed just 2 home runs in his last 88 1/3 IP

Kirby (6-3, 3.15 ERA) owns a 1.17 WHIP, 1.2 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 through 105 2/3 IP across 20 starts

  • Is a 24-year-old rookie having his innings held in check: has gone fewer than 6 IP in 7 of his last 9 starts
  • Facing a right-leaning Atlanta lineup: has allowed an .876 OPS against righty bats (.528 vs. left-handed batters)

Braves at Mariners odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:24 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Braves -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Mariners +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+130) | Mariners +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

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Braves at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 5, Mariners 4

Money line

Figure a sliver of a lean on ATLANTA (-140). The Braves are 31-13 since the break, and they’ve had great success on the road.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Too much gray area in the recent performances for both bullpens … and Seattle plays in a lot of 1-run affairs.

Over/Under

Peg the OVER 6.5 (-122) as the best value play in this contest. Both starters have analytic numbers that indicate surface ERAs being artificially tamped down a bit.

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