The Atlanta Braves (70-40) will play the 2nd game of a 4-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates (51-61) on Tuesday at PNC Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Pirates lead 1-0
Braves 2B Ozzie Albies hit his 26th home run of the season in Monday’s series-opening 7-6 loss. Atlanta is on a 3-game losing skid, but it remains 10 games ahead of the Philadelphia Phillies atop the NL East.
The Pirates produced 6 earned runs on RHP Spencer Strider in Monday’s victory before the hard-throwing righty was pulled in the 3rd inning. Pittsburgh is 9 games back of the Milwaukee Brewers in the NL Central despite winning 2 games in a row.
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Braves at Pirates projected starters
RHP Yonny Chirinos vs. RHP Mitch Keller
Chirinos (5-4, 4.42 ERA) makes his 7th start and 18th appearance. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 4.9 K/9 through 71 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 12-5 home win vs. Los Angeles Angels Wednesday
- 2023 road stats: 3-2, 2.95 ERA (39 2/3 IP, 13 ER) in 1 start and 8 relief appearances
- First career vs. the Pirates
Keller (9-8, 4.35 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 through 138 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 8 ER, 9 H, 3 BB, 5 K in a 14-1 road loss vs. Milwaukee Brewers Thursday
- 2023 home stats: 5-3, 3.57 ERA (63 IP, 25 ER) in 10 starts.
- Career vs. Braves: 0-2, 10.03 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 13 ER) in 3 starts
Braves at Pirates odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:41 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Braves -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Pirates +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+100) | Pirates +1.5 (-120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Braves at Pirates picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 7, Pirates 4
Moneyline
I’ll side with the BRAVES (-160) on the road for Tuesday’s matchup even though Atlanta lost Monday’s series opener. The Braves won 8 straight meetings with the Pirates before losing on Monday, and Keller has lost 4 consecutive starts.
Run line/Against the spread
The BRAVES -1.5 (+100) are a great value as Atlanta looks to get back in the win column. The Braves have won by multiple runs in each of their last 11 wins.
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Over/Under
OVER 10 (-105) is the play in this game with Keller mightily struggling since the All-Star break. Keller has given up at least 6 earned runs in 3 of his last 4 starts.
The Braves are 7-3 to the Over in their last 10 games overall, while the Pirates are 6-4 to the Over in their last 10 games.
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