Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Atlanta Braves (94-50) will play the 3rd game of a 4-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies (79-65) on Tuesday at Citizens Bank Park following a doubleheader on Monday. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 5-3

The Braves won the first game of the doubleheader 10-8 on Monday while losing the second game 7-5 despite 1B Matt Olson hitting 2 homers to reach 50 on the season. Atlanta is 5-5 in its last 10 games, but is still 15 games ahead of the Phillies for 1st place in the NL East and is the first team in MLB to clinch a postseason berth.

SS Trea Turner remained hot for the Phillies as he hit a homer in the first game and produced a multi-hit performance in the second game. Even though Philadelphia has a decent gap to close to catch Atlanta in the division race, it currently holds the top NL Wild Card.

Braves at Phillies projected starters

LHP Max Fried vs. RHP Zack Wheeler

Fried (7-1, 2.70 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 66 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 4 K in an 8-5 home win over the St. Louis Cardinals Thursday
  • Road stats: 5-0, 1.73 ERA (36 1/3 IP, 7 ER) in 7 starts
  • Career vs. Phillies: 4-4, 3.74 ERA (74 2/3 IP, 31 ER) in 12 starts and 6 relief appearances

Wheeler (11-6, 3.49 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 through 170 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 2 BB, 7 K in a 5-1 road victory against the San Diego Padres Wednesday
  • Home stats: 4-2, 3.80 ERA (73 1/3 IP, 31 ER) in 12 starts
  • Career vs. Braves: 11-7, 3.00 ERA (159 IP, 53 ER) in 25 starts

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Braves at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:33 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Braves -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Phillies +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+135) | Phillies +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Braves at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 5, Phillies 4

Moneyline

With a solid pitching matchup on Tuesday, I’ll back the BRAVES (-125) on the road. Atlanta has won 4 of the last 5 meetings with Philadelphia this season.

Run line/Against the spread

PHILLIES +1.5 (-160) is the play in this contest despite taking the Braves to win the divisional bout. Wheeler is coming off a stellar start and Philadelphia’s lineup has been swinging a hot bat recently.

Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-120) is how I’d wager on the run total in a game between 2 teams that have talented lineups. The Braves and the Phillies have both tallied at least 5 runs in 5 of the first 8 meetings this season.

The Over is also 6-3-1 in the last 10 meetings.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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