The Atlanta Braves (62-33) begin a 3-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers (54-43) on Friday at American Family Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; teams split 6 games in 2022
The Braves defeated the Arizona Diamondbacks 7-5 on Thursday to end a 4-game losing streak. Atlanta remains 10 1/2 games ahead of the Philadelphia Phillies atop the NL East.
The Brewers shut out the Phillies 4-0 on Thursday to give them 8 wins in their last 10 games. Milwaukee has extended its lead in the NL Central to 2 1/2 games over the Cincinnati Reds.
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Braves at Brewers projected starters
RHP Michael Soroka vs. RHP Freddy Peralta
Soroka (1-1, 5.40 ERA) makes his 5th start and 6th appearance. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 23 1/3 innings.
- Has allowed 3 ER or more in 3 of his 1st 4 starts
- Braves are 3-1 in his starts
Peralta (6-7, 4.41 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 98 innings.
- Has given up 3 ER or more in 8 of his last 11 starts
- Has registered 6 or more K’s in 5 of his last 7 starts
Braves at Brewers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:55 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Braves -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Brewers +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+135) | Brewers +1.5 (-160)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Braves at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 6, Brewers 4
Moneyline
BET BRAVES (-125).
Even with Atlanta going 5-5 in its last 10 contests, the Braves are the best team in baseball. Getting the Braves at the current odds (-125) is a gift despite Soroka drawing the start.
Run line/Against the spread
BRAVES -1.5 (+135) has fantastic value as Atlanta is always capable of running away with games due to its deep lineup. The Braves have won by at least 2 runs in each of their last 12 victories.
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Over/Under
OVER 9.5 (-110) is how I’d bet on the run total with Soroka and Peralta on the mound in this game. Since the start of July, the Braves boast the best ISO (.241), the 8th-best wOBA (.344), and the 8th-best wRC+ (114) against right-handed pitching.
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