The Colorado Rockies (23-29) host the Atlanta Braves (26-27) Saturday at Coors Field for the 3rd game of a 4-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Atlanta won the first 2 games of this series, 13-6 Thursday and 3-1 in 10 innings Friday.
Friday’s game was 0-0 after 9 innings, spoiling pitching gems from Atlanta SP Max Fried (8 IP, 2 H, 1 BB, 4 K) and Colorado SP Chad Kuhl (6 IP, 5 H, 2 BB 3 K). Braves 1B Matt Olson‘s 2-run RBI single in the top of the 10th keyed Atlanta’s victory.
Braves at Rockies projected starters
RHP Spencer Strider vs. LHP Kyle Freeland
Strider is 1-2 with a 2.83 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 13.8 K/9 in 28 2/3 IP across 1 start and 11 relief appearances.
- Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 3 ER (5 R), 4 H, 1 HR, 2 BB, 7 K in 6-2 final at Arizona Diamondbacks Monday
Freeland is 1-5 with a 4.96 ERA, 1.56 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 52 2/3 IP over 10 starts.
- Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 1 HR, 4 BB, 2 K in 6-5 setback at Washington Nationals Sunday
- 2022 home splits: 1-3 with a 6.25 ERA (31 2/3 IP, 22 ER), 3 HR, 1.67 WHIP, 6.3 K/9 in 6 starts
Braves at Rockies odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:51 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Braves -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Rockies +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (-120) | Rockies +1.5 (+100)
- Over/Under (O/U): 11.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)
Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!
Braves at Rockies picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 10, Rockies 4
Money line
BET 1 UNIT on the BRAVES (-190).
They have a decisive 3-phase edge over the Rockies (+155) in starting and relief pitching and hitting.
Strider ranks higher in most advanced pitching metrics than Freeland and his stuff is much nastier. Strider grades in the 99th percentile of K%, 98th percentile of fastball velocity and 95th percentile of whiff rate, per Statcast.
Colorado’s bullpen has the worst ERA (5.27) in baseball and second-worst WHIP (1.50) and xFIP (4.53), according to FanGraphs. Atlanta’s bullpen is 8th in both ERA (3.31) and xFIP (3.68) and 3rd in home runs allowed per 9 innings (0.61).
The Braves are 12-6 overall vs. left-handed starters and their lineup is 2nd in wRC+ (121) and 3rd in wOBA (.349) against lefties. The Rockies are 16-19 vs. right-handed starters, 24th in wRC+ (87) and score almost 1 run less per 9 against righties.
If your standard wager is $100, risk that on BRAVES (-190) to earn a $52.63 payout.
Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW22 for 20% OFF full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 6/30/2022. Subscribe today and start winning!
Run line/Against the spread
LEAN BRAVES -1.5 (-120) because it should cash, and I’m not crazy about laying it with the Rockies +1.5 (+100) at Coors Field.
A bigger wager on Atlanta’s ML is a better option, but the Braves should hammer the Rockies Saturday.
Over/Under
PASS.
There’s suspicious reverse-line movement headed south of the total in the betting market (per Pregame.com) and this is a sharp number. Most of the public and cash is on the Over, but the total has been lowered from a 12-run opener. It seems like the sportsbooks are daring the public to bet the Over.
Also, the Braves are 5-6 O/U as road favorites and the Rockies are 6-9 O/U as home underdogs.
Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!
If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.
Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup
Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]