The Atlanta Braves (71-64) close out their four-game road series with the Colorado Rockies (63-73) Sunday afternoon, hoping to salvage a split. First pitch is at 3:10 p.m. ET at Coors Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Braves vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Braves RHP Charlie Morton (12-5, 3.52 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 through 151 IP.
- The Braves lost his last two starts and four of his last six. While he is 12-5, the Braves are 14-13 when he gets the start.
- He has allowed more than 3 runs only once in his last 10 starts.
Rockies RHP Ryan Feltner makes his major league debut. He went 8-3 with a 2.62 ERA in the minor leagues this year and had a 1.22 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 through 110 IP.
- Feltner had seven starts for High-A Spokane and 13 for Double-A Hartford.
- He had a quality start in seven of his last eight minor league starts.
Braves at Marlins odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Braves -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Rockies +160 (bet $100 to win $160)
- Against the spread/ATS: Braves -1.5 (-130) | Rockies +1.5 (+105)
- Over/Under: 11.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)
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Prediction
Rockies 6, Braves 4
Money line (ML)
After winning nine in a row from Aug. 13-22, the Braves are struggling a bit, having lost eight of their last 11 games. After taking the opener against the Rockies 6-5, they dropped back-to-back 1-run games. The NL East leaders are 38-32 on the road this season.
The Rockies continue to be two different teams when at home or when on the road. They are 18-50 away from Coors Field but 45-23 at home. They have the second-most home wins and second-highest home winning percentage in baseball and have won 11 of their last 13 home games.
Even with Feltner making his MLB debut, take the ROCKIES (+160).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Braves are 63-72 ATS this season but 41-29 ATS on the road. They are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games.
The Rockies top all of baseball with a 45-23 ATS record at home. They covered four straight games overall and seven of their last 10. They have gone seven straight games without losing by more than one run.
I expect an outright win by Colorado, but if your confidence level isn’t as high on betting the money line, take the ROCKIES +1.5 (+105).
Over/Under (O/U)
Despite the reputation, only 43.9% of the games at Coors Field this season have gone Over the projected total. It is the seventh-lowest home Over percentage in the league.
Saturday’s game against the Rockies was the first in 14 games the Braves had a total of 12 or more runs. Only two of Morton’s last 10 starts had a total that would beat today’s projected total.
Four of the last nine games for the Rockies at home had at least 12 runs.
Take UNDER 11.5 (-112).
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