The Atlanta Braves (65-46) and Boston Red Sox (54-57) wrap their season series with the 2nd game of a 2-game interleague set Wednesday. First pitch from Fenway Park will be at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Red Sox nickname odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Braves lead 2-1
The Braves snapped their 3-game losing skid by beating the Red Sox 9-7 in the series opener Tuesday. Atlanta had dropped 4 of 5 games to the New York Mets and had lost 5 of their last 6 contests overall before traveling to Boston.
The Red Sox have lost 5 of their last 6 games after dropping 3 of a 4-game set against the Kansas City Royals in their previous series. They’re 10th in runs scored this season but rank 25th in team ERA.
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Braves at Red Sox projected starters
RHP Kyle Wright vs. RHP Nick Pivetta
Wright (13-5, 3.22 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 through 128 2/3 IP.
- Gave up more than 3 ER for the first time since June 23 when he allowed 6 runs on 7 hits (4 home runs) against the Mets Thursday.
- The Braves are 15-6 in his 21 starts this season, including 7-1 in his last 8.
Pivetta (8-8, 4.51 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 through 123 2/3 IP.
- Has given up 7 ER in his last 10 innings, with the Red Sox losing each of his last 2 starts.
- He hasn’t earned a win in his last 4 starts at home dating back to June 19.
Braves at Red Sox odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:12 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Braves -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Red Sox +122 (bet $100 to win $122)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+105) | Red Sox +1.5 (-130)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)
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Braves at Red Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 6, Red Sox 4
Money line
The Braves were -170 on the ML Tuesday with RHP Charlie Morton on the mound against LHP Rich Hill, and they cashed by beating Boston 9-7 in the 11th inning. The Red Sox hung around despite a poor start from Hill, but I think the Braves have an even bigger edge with Wright on the mound.
Considering their 15-6 record in his starts, I like their chances to beat Boston on the road. Bet the BRAVES (-150).
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Run line/Against the spread
The Braves are 6-1 straight up in their last 7 games at Fenway Park. The Red Sox score an average of 0.98 fewer runs per game against righties than they do lefties, so this isn’t a matchup that favors their strengths, either.
I like the BRAVES -1.5 (+105) to cover the run line and you’re getting them at plus-money as an added bonus.
Over/Under
The total has gone Over in 5 of the Braves’ last 6 games and in 4 of the last 5 Red Sox contests. Pivetta has struggled in his last 2 starts and at least 10 total runs have been scored in 6 of his last 7 starts.
Bet the OVER 9.5 (+105) at the hitter-friendly Fenway Park.
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