The Arlington Renegades (1-0) and the Houston Roughbecks (1-0) meet Sunday in a Week 2 matchup at TDECU Stadium in Houston (ESPN2/ESPN+). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Renegades vs. Roughnecks odds, and make our expert XFL picks, predictions and bets.
The Renegades held on for a thrilling 22-20 win over the Vegas Vipers last week, although Arlington and its backers were the victims of a late backdoor cover as the Over cashed. Arlington has the ability to move the ball with former NFL RB Keith Ford, as well as De’Veon Smith.
The Roughnecks blew out the Orlando Guardians by a 33-12 count, easily the most lopsided game in Week 1. In fact, all of the other games were decided by 4 points or less.
Houston QB Brandon Silvers was sharp, throwing for 272 yards and a pair of TDs, while WR Deontay Burnett had 90 receiving yards and a score. Former Washington State standout RB Max Borghi showed his versatility with 42 rushing yards and 32 receiving yards.
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Renegades at Roughnecks odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:51 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Renegades +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Roughnecks -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Renegades +4.5 (+100) | Roughnecks -4.5 (-120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 39.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Renegades at Roughnecks key injuries
Renegades
- None
Roughnecks
- WR Travell Harris (undisclosed) questionable
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Renegades at Roughnecks picks and predictions
Prediction
Roughnecks 23, Renegades 20
Money line
The Roughnecks (-240) should get a much better test this week than they did in Week 1 against a disheveled Guardians side.
The Renegades (+190) were impressive at times on offense in Week 1, coming back from a 14-3 deficit to win 22-20, and Arlington rode its defense in the 2nd half.
PASS.
Against the spread
The RENEGADES +4.5 (+100) are an intriguing play catching 4 and a hook AND it’s plus-money.
While the Roughnecks -4.5 (-120) will be a popular play based on their Week 1 stomping of the Guardians, it’s a small sample size. Don’t put too much stock into 1 game. In 4 of the 1st 5 games in the XFL so far, the margin of victory has been 4 or fewer points.
Over/Under
The OVER 39.5 (-120) is the lean. We saw the Over cash in 3 of the first 4 games in Week 1, including for both of these teams. And we saw the Over hit in the Week 2 opener in Seattle on Thursday night. Look for a total into the 40s here, too.
If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Plus, try out the USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.
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