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The Texas Rangers (26-29) and Arizona Diamondbacks (25-29) wrap up a 2-game set Wednesday. First pitch from Globe Life Field is scheduled for 2:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Rangers lead 1-0
The Diamondbacks lost the 1st game of the series 4-2, closing as +116 underdogs. The game went under the projected total of 8. Arizona has lost 3 of its last 4 and sits 4th in the NL West. It has gone 4-6 over its last 10 games and is 12-14 on the road. Diamondbacks 2B Ketel Marte has led the team this season with 58 hits and a .270 batting average.
The Rangers won their 2nd straight game Tuesday. This win streak comes after a 6-game skid for Texas, which sits 2nd in the AL West. The Rangers have closed as underdogs in 4 of their last 5 games and are 2-3 against the spread (ATS) in that span. They are 22-33 ATS on the season.
Diamondbacks at Rangers projected starters
RHP Ryne Nelson vs. RHP Dane Dunning
Nelson (3-3, 6.03 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.83 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 34 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 8 ER, 11 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 13-0 home setback to Detroit Tigers May 17
- 2024 away splits: 1-1, 3.24 ERA (16 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 22 H, 3 HR, 3 BB, 15 K in 3 starts and 1 relief appearance
- 2023 World Series vs. Rangers: 0-0, 1.69 ERA (5 1/3 IP, 1 ER), 3 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 1 relief appearance, an 11-7 home loss Oct. 31
- Has never faced Rangers in regular season
Dunning (3-3, 4.43 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 40 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 3 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 11-4 road defeat to Philadephia Phillies Wednesday
- 2024 home splits: 1-2, 4.41 ERA (16 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 11 H, 3 HR, 6 BB, 24 K in 3 starts
- 2023 World Series vs. Diamondbacks: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (2 1/3 IP), 1.71 WHIP in 3 relief appearances
- Career vs. Diamondbacks (regular season): 1-0, 2.84 ERA (6 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 6 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 1 start, a 5-4 home win July 27, 2021
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Diamondbacks at Rangers odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:10 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +112 (bet $100 to win $112) | Rangers -132 (bet $132 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-178) | Rangers -1.5 (+146)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Diamondbacks at Rangers picks and predictions
Prediction
Rangers 6, Diamondbacks 4
Moneyline
BET RANGERS (-132).
Considering its overall record, Texas has been better at home, having won 13 of 26 games. The Rangers have won 2 straight, and 5 of their 6 losses prior to these 2 victories were against strong teams in the Minnesota Twins and Phillies.
Texas has won Dunning’s last 2 starts, while the Diamondbacks have lost Nelson’s last 2. Given Nelson’s struggles over the last few weeks, take RANGERS (-132).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The Diamondbacks are too expensive as run-line underdogs, especially considering Nelson’s struggles this season. The Rangers, however, are too risky to play to cover the spread, although it would be the preferred route if one is set on taking a run-line play.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 9 (-110).
Neither team has a strong starting pitcher on the mound, and that will be a key headline here. The Rangers allowed 11 runs in Dunning’s last start and have given up a total of 18 over his last 3. They topped the total in 2 of those 3 games.
Arizona, which is 5-5 O/U in its last 10, has gone Over in Nelson’s last 3 starts, giving up 22 as a team through those games. Considering those trends, back OVER 9 (-110).
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