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The Arizona Diamondbacks (12-16) close out their 3-game road series against the Seattle Mariners (15-12) Sunday. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is at 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Mariners lead 2-0
The Diamondbacks lost their 3rd straight game and for the 4th time in their last 5 on Saturday, falling 3-1 to the Mariners. It was the 3rd straight game they scored only 1 run.
The Mariners have won 3 in a row and are 8-2 in their last 10 games. They have held opponents to 2 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 9.
Diamondbacks at Mariners projected starters
RHP Brandon Pfaadt vs. RHP Logan Gilbert
Pfaadt (1-1, 4.97 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 29 IP.
- Last start: No decision, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 5-3 road loss to St. Louis on Monday
- Arizona has lost his last 4 starts
Gilbert (2-0, 1.87 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 0.80 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 33 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 0 R, 2 H, 4 BB, 6 K in 4-0 road win over Texas in Tuesday
- Has allowed 1 run or less in 4 of 5 starts
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Diamondbacks at Mariners odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:41 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Mariners -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-175) | Mariners -1.5 (+145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Diamondbacks at Mariners picks and predictions
Prediction
Mariners 4, Diamondbacks 2
Moneyline
The Diamondbacks have scored 3 runs in 3 games and are 1-10 in games in which they score 3 or fewer runs.
Opponents have scored more than 3 runs only once in Gilbert’s 5 starts. Seattle has won 8 of the 10 games and have allowed 3 or fewer runs in 11 of their last 12 games.
Betting Seattle on the moneyline isn’t a bad bet, but there is more money to be made on the run line.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
Eleven of Seattle’s last 12 wins have been by at least 2 runs while the Diamondbacks’ last 7 losses and 10 of their last 11 losses have been by multiple runs.
BET MARINER -1.5 (+145).
Over/Under
Each of the first 2 games of the series had totals of 7 or fewer runs.
Seattle’s last 5 games and 9 of their last 10 have not reached 8 total runs and 4 of Gilbert’s 5 starts have not reached 8 total runs.
BET UNDER 7.5 (-115).
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