The Arizona Diamondbacks (32-36) open a 3-game road series against the San Diago Padres (41-27) Monday. First pitch is 9:40 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.
The Padres lead the season series 3-1. This is the first matchup since their 4-game series to open the season.
The Diamondbacks went 3-3 in their recent homestand, winning 3 of the final 4 games and taking 2 of 3 contests from the Minnesota Twins over the weekend. They won 7-1 Sunday to capture the series.
The Padres start a 7-game homestand as they return after being swept in a 3-game series at the Colorado Rockies. They had won 4 in a row and 11 of 14 games before dropping the 3 games.
Diamondbacks at Padres projected starters
RHP Zach Davies vs. RHP Yu Darvish
Davies (2-3, 3.78 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 69 IP.
- Allowed 2 runs on 4 hits and 3 walks in 5 innings in his first start of the year against the Padres April 9; received a no-decision in a 5-2 loss.
- Threw 7 scoreless innings in his last start vs. the Cincinnati Reds Tuesday and has not allowed a run in 2 of his last 3 starts.
Darvish (6-3, 3.35 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 75 1/3 IP.
- Faced the Diamondbacks in his first start of the season April 7 with 6 hitless innings and walked 4 in a 4-2 loss.
- Has allowed only 1 run in his last 15 innings spanning 2 starts.
Diamondbacks at Padres odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:40 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Diamondbacks +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Padres -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-155) | Padres -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)
Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!
Diamondbacks at Padres picks and predictions
Prediction
Padres 4, Diamondbacks 2
Money line
The Diamondbacks have won 3 of their last 4 games but are 6-9 in their last 15 contests. The magic number for them has been 5 runs. They are 13-2 in their last 15 games scoring 5 or more. They have lost 13 games in a row when they fail to score at least 5 runs.
The Padres have allowed 5 or more runs in 5 of their last 6 games but have allowed 4 or fewer runs in 9 of Darvish’s 12 starts this season.
I expect the Padres to win but it’s a PASS on the money line unless you include it as part of a parlay bet because of the price. As a single bet, it isn’t worth the action.
Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW22 for 20% OFF full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 6/30/2022. Subscribe today and start winning!
Run line/Against the spread
The Diamondbacks are 39-29 ATS on the season, which is the third-best mark in baseball, and they are 20-12 ATS on the road. However, their last 5 road losses have been by 2 or more runs.
Of the Padres’ last 12 wins, 11 have been by at least 2 runs. But they are 10-20 ATS at home this season.
That said, I expect the Diamondbacks to struggle offensively against Darvish.
Take the PADRES -1.5 (+125).
Over/Under
Opponents have scored fewer than 5 runs in 3 of Davies’ last 4 starts but the Diamondbacks’ last 7 games have all had 8 or more total runs.
The Padres have had 6 straight games of 8 or more runs.
However, 3 of the 4 games between the two teams in April had 7 or fewer runs.
Take UNDER 7.5 (-130).
Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!
If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.
Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup
Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]