The Arizona Diamondbacks (22-56) close out their three-game road series against the San Diego Padres (46-33) Sunday afternoon. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Zac Gallen is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. He is 1-3 with a 3.67 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 11.3 K/9 and 3.9 BB/9 in 34 1/3 IP over 7 starts.
Despite taking the loss in his last start, he allowed only 1 run on 3 hits in 5 frames, striking out 8 and walking none. Gallen looked like the pitcher the Snakes expect him to be.
RHP Yu Darvish is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. He is 7-2 with a 2.50 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 10.8 K/9 and 2.2 BB/9 in 90 IP over 15 starts.
The Padres are 12-3 when he starts. His only start against the Diamondbacks this season was April 1. Darvish allowed 4 runs on 8 hits over 4 2/3 innings in a no-decision.
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Diamondbacks at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:45 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Diamondbacks +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Padres -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Diamondbacks +1.5 (+100) | Padres -1.5 (-120)
- Over/Under: 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Prediction
Padres 4, Diamondbacks 2
Money line (ML)
The Diamondbacks’ 10-1 win over the Padres Saturday night was just their second win in the past 22 games, their 10th road win of the year and their fourth win in the last 38 games.
The Padres are 29-15 at home and had won eight straight before their loss Saturday. They aren’t likely to lose two in a row to Arizona.
Take the PADRES (-275).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Even with the win and the cover Saturday, only one team in the majors has a lower road cover percentage than Arizona’s 40.5%.
The Padres have still covered the spread in seven of their last nine games at home. Nine of their 12 wins when Darvish pitches were by at least 2 runs.
Take the PADRES -1.5 (-120).
Over/Under (O/U)
Seven of the last nine games at Petco Park went Over the projected total. However, Gallen appears to be back on track with his pitching and Darvish has only a 2.50 ERA.
Expect a low-scoring game in this getaway game. Take UNDER 7 (+100).
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