The Arizona Diamondbacks (21-56) take on the San Diego Padres (46-32) in the second game of their three-game series Saturday. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Merrill Kelly is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. He is 3-7 with a 5.06 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 and 2.6 BB/9 in 85 1/3 IP over 15 starts.
Kelly was the starter that helped end the Diamondbacks’ 17-game losing streak. The victory Monday over the Milwaukee Brewers also ended a five-decision skid for the righty, as he went 7 innings allowing only 1 run on 5 hits. He is 1-1 with a 3.60 ERA in two starts against the Padres this season.
RHP Dinelson Lamet is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. He is 2-2 with a 2.81 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 10.4 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9 in 32 IP over eight starts and two relief appearances.
He threw a season-high 81 pitches in his last outing Sunday against Cincinnati, tossing 5 scoreless innings and allowing only 4 hits. This will be his first start against Arizona this season.
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Diamondbacks at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:58 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Diamondbacks +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Padres -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Diamondbacks +1.5 (+110) | Padres -1.5 (-135)
- Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Padres 4, Diamondbacks 1
Money line (ML)
The Diamondbacks extended their major league record road losing streak to 24 Friday after dropping the series opener 11-5. They are now 9-34 on the road this season and have only three wins in their last 37 games overall.
The Padres have rattled off eight straight wins to improve to 29-14 at home. They are 5-2 this season against the D’backs and have won four of five at home against this year.
Take the PADRES (-275).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Diamondbacks road cover percentage of 39.0% is the second-lowest in the majors, and they’re 3-6 ATS in their last nine games. Kelly was great in his last outing but it was against a Brewers team that bats only .221 away from home.
The Padres have covered the spread in seven of their eight-game win streak. They are 23-20 ATS at home.
Take the PADRES -1.5 (-135).
Over/Under (O/U)
Only 46.5% of the games at Petco Park have hit the Over this season.
Five of Dinelson’s eight starts have had totals of seven or fewer runs.
Both Kelly and Dinelson are coming off their best starts of the season, so don’t expect a ton of runs.
Take UNDER 7.5 (-110).
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