The Arizona Diamondbacks (42-84) and Pittsburgh Pirates (45-80) meet Tuesday at PNC Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Pirates odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Madison Bumgarner is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. He is 7-7 with a 4.06 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 7.9 K/9, and 1.9 BB/9 in 106 1/3 IP over 19 starts.
- Has come on strong after missing much of June with a shoulder injury, clocking a 1.93 ERA in seven starts since the All-Star break.
RHP J.T. Brubaker is the projected starter for the Pirates. He is 4-13 with a 5.49 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 9.1 K/9, and 2.6 BB/9 in 116 1/3 IP over 22 starts.
- Is coming off three clunkers in a row with a 12.86 ERA and 7 HR allowed over 14 IP.
- Owns an 8.84 ERA since July 2.
Diamondbacks at Pirates odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:25 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Diamondbacks -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Pirates +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Diamondbacks -1.5 (+125) | Pirates +1.5 (-160)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)
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Prediction
Pirates 5, Diamondbacks 4
Money line (ML)
The Pirates beat the Diamondbacks 6-5 in Monday’s series opener. However, Arizona’s bats have come around recently as the club’s solidly bottom-third offense has posted an .844 OPS since Aug. 12.
The D-Backs have also pitched better of late. Arizona hurlers logged a 2.57 ERA over a recent seven-game stretch against the playoff-contending San Diego Padres and Philadelphia Phillies.
The Pirates are just 5-16 in August despite their Monday victory. The Bucs’ 6 runs in the series opener were an anomaly: Pittsburgh has averaged just 3.1 runs per game on a .598 OPS in August. Pirates pitching has been shaky too, recording a 5.52 ERA this month.
Bumgarner has benefited from some generous rates around the margins over recent starts while Brubaker has been done in by an exorbitant number of long balls. Even with closing out a 6-5 victory Monday the Pirates bullpen enters this one with more availability on the back end.
TAKE PITTSBURGH (+100).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
AVOID the added juice in the price spread here. Plus, Pittsburgh tends to play relatively few games where they cozy up and lose by 1.
Over/Under (O/U)
With some fade lean on Bumgarner and some growth signals in the batting analytics for both clubs there is a slight lean on the OVER 8.5 (-125).
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