The Arizona Diamondbacks (28-33) will try to avoid getting swept in a 3-game series at the Philadelphia Phillies (30-29) Sunday. First pitch in the series finale is set for 1:35 p.m. ET at Citizens Bank Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Phillies lead 2-0
The Diamondbacks, who are wrapping up a 10-game road trip, were blanked 4-0 Saturday after losing 7-5 in the series opener. They are 3-6 on this trip.
The Phillies have now won 9 straight games, including 6 in a row at home.
Diamondbacks at Phillies projected starters
LHP Kyle Nelson vs. LHP Ranger Suarez
Nelson (1-0, 2.04 ERA) makes his first career start as the Diamondbacks go with a bullpen game. It is his 20th appearance of the season. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 2 BB and 19 K through 17 2/3 IP.
- Nelson has only allowed runs in 3 of his 19 appearances this season.
- He has pitched more than 1 inning only 4 times this season.
Suarez (4-3, 4.42 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.47 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 through 55 IP.
- The Phillies have lost three of Suarez’ last 4 starts, but he is coming off a start when he lasted 7 innings and allowed 2 runs on 6 hits.
- Has allowed 3 or more earned runs in 6 of his 11 starts.
Diamondbacks at Phillies odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:44 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Diamondbacks +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Phillies -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-108) | Phillies -1.5 (-112)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)
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Diamondbacks at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Diamondbacks 6, Phillies 5
Money line
The Diamondbacks have only been swept in a road series once this season. It was a 4-game set at the Los Angeles Dodgers in mid-May.
The Phillies have won 9 games in a row, which means they are due for a loss. They have, though, lost 3 of Suarez’ last 4 starts. They are 17-15 at home this season.
This is the game that Arizona sneaks in for the win, relying on the normally unreliable bullpen.
Take the DIAMONDBACKS (+180).
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Run line/Against the spread
The Diamondbacks are 35-26 ATS this season. Only 3 teams have been better ATS this season. They are 2-6 ATS in their last 7 games.
They failed to cover the spread in either of the first 2 games of this series. Only once this season have they failed to cover the spread in at least one game of a series.
The Phillies have won 4 straight games by at least 2 runs. Seven of their 9 wins in the streak have been by 2 or more runs.
However, they are 15-17 ATS at home this season.
The better bet is to take Arizona on the money line because of the payout, but if you prefer the run line, take the DIAMONDBACKS +1.5 (-108).
Over/Under
The Diamondbacks have a 4.58 reliever ERA this season and they’ll be going with relievers the entire game Sunday.
In 6 of Suarez’ 11 starts this season, there have been 10 or more runs.
Six of the Diamondbacks’ last 9 wins have had totals of 10 runs or more.
Six of the Phillies’ 9 wins in their streak have had 10 or more runs.
Take OVER 9.5 (-115).
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