Arizona Diamondbacks at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (28-32) face the Philadelphia Phillies (29-29) for the second game of their 3-game series in Philadelphia. First pitch is 4:05 p.m. ET at Citizens Bank Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Phillies took the series opener 7-5 Friday and lead the season series 1-0.

The Diamondbacks are 3-5 so far on their 10-game road trip. They had won 2 games in a row before dropping the series opener.

The Phillies have won their last 8 games. This winning streak follows a 5-game losing skid.

Diamondbacks at Phillies projected starters

LHP Madison Bumgarner vs. RHP Zack Wheeler

Bumgarner (2-5, 3.64 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 through 59 1/3 IP.

  • Has taken a loss in each of his last 3, and in 4 of his last 5, starts.
  • Has posted a 5.28 ERA through 29 innings across his last 5 outings after posting a 1.78 ERA and not allowing more than 2 runs in any of his first 7 starts of the season.

Wheeler (4-3, 3.14 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 through 57 1/3 IP.

  • Has won 4 straight decisions and the Phillies have won 4 of his last 5 starts.
  • Has a 1.75 ERA across 25 2/3 IP  through his last 4 starts.

Diamondbacks at Phillies odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:51 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Diamondbacks +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Phillies -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-105) | Phillies -1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Diamondbacks at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 7, Diamondbacks 5

Money line

PASS on the money line.

The Phillies are rolling right now and Wheeler is on a roll in his last 4 starts, while Bumgarner has been less effective in his last few appearances.

Expect a Phillies win, but there isn’t enough value for a money line bet unless you include it as part of a parlay bet. Your action should be on the run line and the total.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Diamondbacks are 35-25 ATS this season, the 2nd-best mark in the majors against the spread. However, 8 of their last 10 losses have been by more than 1 run.

The Phillies are 30-28 ATS overall and 6 of the 8 wins of their current streak have been by more than 1 run. They have won 5 of Wheeler’s last 7 starts by at least 2 runs.

Take the PHILLIES -1.5 (-115).

Over/Under

The Phillies have had the total hit 9 or higher in 12 of their last 13 games.

Three of the last 4 games for the Diamondbacks have had 9 or more runs. One thing to note is the fact they have not scored any runs in Bumgarner’s last 2 starts.

Arizona’s opponents have scored 6 or more runs in Bumgarner’s last 4 starts.

Take OVER 8.5 (-110).

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