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The New York Yankees (78-76) welcome the Arizona Diamondbacks (81-73) to Yankee Stadium Saturday. First pitch is set for 1:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Yankees lead 1-0
The Yankees opened the series up with a 7-1 win Friday as +112 underdogs. New York has won 2 straight games, is 5-3 over its last 8 games and is 41-38 at home this season, however, the Yankees are still 7 games back of an AL Wild Card spot.
The Diamondbacks are 2nd in the NL West, 14 games behind the Los Angeles Dodgers, but they hold the 2nd NL Wild Card. Arizona is 6-4 over its last 10 games and 38-38 on the road this season.
Diamondbacks at Yankees projected starters
RHP Zach Davies vs. LHP Carlos Rodon
Davies (2-5, 6.81 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.61 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 through 79 1/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 7-6 home win vs. Chicago Cubs last Saturday
- 2023 road stats: 1-1, 8.10 ERA in 23 1/3 IP over 5 starts
Rodon (3-6, 5.90 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 through 58 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 6 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 10 K in 3-2 road loss vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Sunday
- 2023 home stats: 1-3, 6.59 ERA in 27 1/3 IP over 6 starts
Diamondbacks at Yankees odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:23 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Yankees -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-190) | Yankees -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.0 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Diamondbacks at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 5, Diamondbacks 2
Moneyline
BET YANKEES (-125).
New York has won 5 of its last 8 games with all those victories coming by 2 or more runs. It will have a strong pitching advantage, and Davies has not been good on the road this season for Arizona either.
Arizona isn’t great after a loss and is streaky, going 35-37 following a defeat.
Couple the trends and differences in pitching and back YANKEES (-125).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The Diamondbacks’ 5-game win streak was snapped by New York Friday, but they are making a strong playoff push and should be extra motivated to get back on track.
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Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 8 (-108).
The Diamondbacks have gone 1-1-1 O/U in their last 3 games and are 67-79-8 O/U on the season as well.
The Yankees are 1-1-2 O/U in their last 4 games and 68-79-9 O/U on the season. Both teams’ season-long trends suggest the Under, so back UNDER 8 (-105).
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