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The Arizona Diamondbacks (25-32) and New York Mets (24-33) play game 3 of their 4-game series Saturday. First pitch from Citi Field is slated for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Mets lead 2-0
Arizona tried their darnedest to comeback posting 4 runs in the top of the 9th but fell 1-run short, 10-9 against the Mets Friday night. It started with a 3-run shot from DH Joc Pederson, followed immediately by a solo home run from 1B Christian Walker before the Mets RHP Reed Garrett closed the game out. The Diamondbacks have dropped 5 straight games.
The Mets built a 10-5 lead by the end of the 6th inning with 4 RBI on 2 hits from RF Starling Marte. They got 2 RBI on 3 hits from 3B Mark Vientos, and another 2 RBI on a home run from DH J.D. Martinez. RHP Luis Severino notched his first win since April 17. After losing 8 of 9, New York has now won back-to-back games for the first time since May 7.
Diamondbacks at Mets projected starters
RHP Slade Cecconi vs. LHP Sean Manaea
Cecconi (1-4, 6.12 ERA) makes his 6th start and 7th appearance. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 in 32 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 3 K May 14 vs. Cincinnati Reds
- Has not faced Mets
- 2024 home/road splits: Road: 1-2, 4.03 ERA, 0.85 WHIP in 4 games, 3 starts; Home: 0-2, 10.80 ERA, 1.50 WHIP in 2 starts
Manaea (3-1, 3.16 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 51 1/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 4-3 victory over the San Francisco Giants Sunday
- Career vs Diamondbacks: 4-2, 3.42 ERA, 47 1/3 IP, 18 ER, 33 H, 14 BB, 37 K in 11 games
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Diamondbacks at Mets odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:15 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +114 (bet $100 to win $114) | Mets -134 (bet $134 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-188) | Mets -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -106 | U: -114)
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Diamondbacks at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 5, Diamondbacks 3
Moneyline.
PASS.
I like the Mets (-134) getting their 3rd-straight win Saturday, but I’m not interesting in paying that juice. I’ll keep my wager to the run line.
Run line/Against the spread
BET METS -1.5 (+155).
Friday night’s 9 runs from the Diamondbacks was the same amount of runs they had scored in the last 5 games combined. Arizona is struggling to get anything going, and Manaea has not allowed more than 3 ER in any of his last 5 starts against the Diamondbacks. He has also not taking a loss since April 13.
Over/Under
PASS.
I just don’t see an edge to want to make a bet either way. The teams are 5-4-1 against the Over in their last 10 meetings.
Instead, I’ll take SEAN MANAEA UNDER 16.5 OUTS RECORDED (-120). He has been your prototypical 5-and-dive pitcher with 5 IP or fewer in 5 of 7 GS. The D-Backs don’t strike out a lot and work counts.
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