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The Arizona Diamondbacks (76-69) continue their 8-game road trip with the 2nd game of a 4-game series against the New York Mets (65-78). First pitch Tuesday is at 7:10 p.m. at Citi Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Mets lead 3-1
The Diamondbacks rallied to win the opener on Monday 4-3 for their 5th win in 6 games. They are in 2nd place in the NL West, trailing the Los Angeles Dodgers by 12 games, but are in the final Wild Card spot with a 1 1/2-game lead.
The Mets have lost 4 of their last 5 games. They have been eliminated from division contention and are 10 games behind in the Wild Card race.
Diamondbacks at Mets projected starters
RHP Ryne Nelson vs. RHP Jose Butto
Nelson (7-7, 5.30 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 in 130 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 6-2 road win over Chicago Cubs on Thursday
- Allowed 7 ER and 9 H in 3 IP vs. the Mets in a 9-0 loss on July 6
Butto (0-2, 3.86 ERA) makes his 4th start and 6th appearance. He has a 1.57 WHIP, 6.4 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 21 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 3-2 road loss to Washington Nationals last Wednesday
- Has 2.81 ERA as a starter
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Diamondbacks at Mets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:44 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Mets -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks -1.5 (+145) | Mets +1.5 (-175)
- Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Diamondbacks at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Diamondbacks 4, Mets 2
Moneyline
The Diamondbacks are making a late-season push for the playoffs and are 4-1 on their current road trip. The Mets have lost 4 of 5 and are 5-11 in their last 16.
Nelson looked good in his last start, his 1st after being sent down to the minors. And Arizona has allowed 2.8 runs per game in their last 8.
BET DIAMONDBACKS (-110).
Run line/Against the spread
The Diamondbacks’ last 3 wins have been by 1 run and 5 of the Mets’ last 7 losses have been by 1 run. But the Mets are 61-82 ATS, the 2nd-worst mark in baseball, while the Diamondbacks are 77-68 ATS.
Sprinkling a little on DIAMONDBACKS -1.5 (+145) isn’t a bad idea.
Over/Under
Seven of Arizona’s last 8 games have not reached 10 total runs while 5 of the Mets’ last 7 have not reached 10 total runs. The Mets have scored only 13 runs in their last 5 games.
BET UNDER 10 (-115).
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