The Arizona Diamondbacks (44-30) and the Milwaukee Brewers (38-35) play the finale of a 3-game series at American Family Field Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Diamondbacks lead 3-2
The Brewers picked up a 7-5 victory Tuesday night, leveling the current series 1-1 after the Snakes took the opening matchup by a 9-1 count. The Over has cashed in each of the 1st 2 of this series.
Arizona is just 3-5 across the past 8 games, but it still leads the San Francisco Giants by 2 1/2 games in the NL West, while the D-backs are 3 1/2 games clear of the now 3rd-place Los Angeles Dodgers.
Milwaukee is a half-game back of the red-hot Cincinnati Reds. The Brew Crew has managed a 22-17 record at home, while posting a minus-22 run differential overall.
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Diamondbacks at Brewers projected starters
RHP Zac Gallen vs. RHP Julio Teheran
Gallen (8-2, 2.96 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 91 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 7 K in a 5-1 home win vs. the Cleveland Guardians Friday
- 2023 road splits: 1-2, 5.79 ERA (37 1/3 IP, 24 ER) with a .290 opponent batting average (OBA) in 7 starts
Teheran (2-2, 1.78 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 0.82 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 30 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 4 K in a 5-4 home win vs. the Pittsburgh Pirates Friday
- 2023 home splits: 1-1, 2.00 ERA (18 IP, 4 ER) with a .183 OBA in 3 starts
Diamondbacks at Brewers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 6:28 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Brewers +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks -1.5 (+115) | Brewers +1.5 (-140)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Diamondbacks at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Diamondbacks 3, Brewers 2
Moneyline
The DIAMONDBACKS (-140) are the lean in this series finale, as Gallen has been having an All-Star campaign.
The Brewers (+115) look like they have a find in Teheran, however, and he is resurrecting his career in Cream City. This is going to be a well-pitched game, and close. However, I still like Arizona, and Gallen’s overall body of work.
Run line/Against the spread
The BREWERS +1.5 (-140) aren’t priced out of line if you don’t trust the home side straight up, but you would like a little bit of insurance.
As an underdog, Milwaukee is 3-4 in the past 7 games overall, while covering the run line and winning outright in 3 of those contests.
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Over/Under
The UNDER 8 (-105) might be the best play on the board in this matinee finale.
The Under has cashed in 4 of Teheran’s 5 starts with Milwaukee this season, while the Under is 6-5-1 in the past 12 starts for Gallen. It’s not so much that he has allowed a lot of runs, because he hasn’t, but Arizona has provided ample run support for him.
In Gallen’s 1st outing against the Brewers in Phoenix on April 10, he and Milwaukee picked up a 3-0 win in an easy Under result.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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