The Arizona Diamondbacks (26-64) have the second of three games against the Los Angeles Dodgers (54-35) on the road Saturday night. Arizona took the opener on Friday with a 5-2 win. First pitch for Saturday’s game is at 10:10 p.m. ET at Dodger Stadium. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Caleb Smith is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. He is 2-5 with a 3.45 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 and 4.4 BB/9 in 70 1/3 IP over eight starts and 18 relief appearances.
This will be his fourth appearance and second start of the season against the Dodgers. So far, in nine innings against them, he has given up three hits and seven walks but has not allowed a run.
RHP Walker Buehler is the projected starting pitcher for the Dodgers. He is 8-1 with a 2.49 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 and 2.0 BB/9 in 108 1/3 IP over 17 starts.
In two starts against Arizona this season, he is 2-0 with a 1.26 ERA over 14 1/3 innings. He has allowed three hits and six walks but has struck out 18.
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Diamondbacks at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:41 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Diamondbacks +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | Dodgers -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Diamondbacks +2.5 (-130) | Dodgers -2.5 (+105)
- Over/Under: 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Dodgers 4, Diamondbacks 2
Money line (ML)
With their 5-2 on Friday over the Dodgers, the Diamondbacks picked up just their second victory in their last 30 road games. At 11-36, only the Colorado Rockies have a worse road record.
The Dodgers are now 28-14 at home but have lost four of their last five games overall.
That said, with their ace on the mound at home, there is no logical reason to bet on the Diamondbacks to win on the road for the second night in a row.
Also, with the price of the money line for the Dodgers so expensive, PASS on this bet and look to the spread or total.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Diamondbacks are 7-6 ATS in their last 13 games. However, their 20-27 ATS record on the road is the fourth-worst in the majors.
Four of their last five losses and five of their last seven have been by more than two runs. Three of their seven losses to the Dodgers this season have been by more than two runs.
Of the Dodgers’ 11 wins with Buehler on the mound this season, only four have been by more than two runs.
Take the DIAMONDBACKS +2.5 (-130).
Over/Under (O/U)
Only three of the eight games between the two teams have had totals of more than eight runs this season. Only two of Smith’s seven starts have finished with a total of more than eight.
Only three of the Dodgers’ last 18 games have had totals of more than eight runs, although 10 of Buehler’s 17 starts have had totals of more than eight.
Take UNDER 8 (-110).
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