The Arizona Diamondbacks (18-25) and Los Angeles Dodgers (24-18) play Game 3 of a four-game series Wednesday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Dodgers lead 2-0
L.A. took the first two games of this series, winning 9-1 Tuesday and 3-1 in Monday’s opener.
RHP Merrill Kelly is expected to start Wednesday for the D-backs. He is 2-4 with a 5.24 ERA (44 2/3 IP, 26 ER), 1.46 WHIP, 6.9 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9 in 8 starts this season.
- Last outing: Loss, 6 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 5-1 home defeat to Miami Marlins Thursday
- Career vs. Dodgers: 0-1, 5.06 ERA (16 IP, 9 ER), 1.38 WHIP, 5.6 K/9 in 3 starts
LHP Clayton Kershaw is projected to start for the Dodgers. The 3-time Cy Young winner is 6-3 with a 3.20 ERA (50 2/3 IP, 18 ER), 1.01 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 and 1.6 BB/9 in 9 starts.
- Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 11 K in 9-6 home victory vs. Marlins Friday
- Career vs. D-backs (regular season): 18-10, 2.75 ERA (222 1/3 IP, 68 ER), 1.05 WHIP, 9.9 K/9 in 36 starts
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Diamondbacks at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 5:45 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Diamondbacks +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | Dodgers -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Off the board
- Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Dodgers 6, Diamondbacks 2
Money line (ML)
PASS. These are two clubs heading in different directions. The Dodgers are 6-1 in their last seven games, while the Diamondbacks are 1-6 and on a three-game slide.
The Dodgers are 14-6 at home in 2021, while the Diamondbacks are 9-16 on the road.
But the -300 juice on the Dodgers is way too expensive and not worth the risk.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Once BetMGM posts the line, whatever the odds are, LOS ANGELES -1.5 is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. Projections have the odds forecast between -130 and -155.
All six of Kershaw’s victories have been by 2 runs or more.
The Dodgers don’t seem to be interested in winning by just 1 run either. Of their 24 overall victories, 20 have been by at least 2 runs, including the last 9 in a row.
They’re also 6-1 ATS in their last seven games, while the D-backs are 1-6 ATS in their last seven.
ATS records: Diamondbacks 23-20 | Dodgers 20-22
Over/Under (O/U)
PASS. One would think Unders are the way to go when Kershaw is on the mound, but the Over is 6-3 in his six starts this season. The Over is also 11-8-1 in games at Dodger Stadium.
The lean would be the Under 7.5 (-110) as Kershaw has the capability of shutting out the Diamondbacks, and the Under is 5-3 in Kelly’s starts. However, this is a PASS as it’s too close to call.
O/U records: Diamondbacks 23-20 | Dodgers 22-19-1
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| JOHNNY’S RECORD | W-L | SP | ROI |
| 2021 MLB | 46-46-2 | 13-16-1 | -6.345 |
| 2020 MLB | 80-59-1 | 39-21 | +24.79 |
| 2021 (all sports) | 149-131-3 | 62-57-1 | +7.205 |
| *–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment | |||
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