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The Arizona Diamondbacks (51-50) face the Kansas City Royals (56-45) on the road for the 2nd game of their 3-game series on Tuesday. First pitch from Kauffman Stadium is at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Royals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Royals lead 1-0
The Diamondbacks are 6-3 in their last 9 games and 2-2 on their current road trip. They have lost 2 straight games, including the series opener on Monday 10-4 with the Over (8) cashing in.
The Royals have won 4 straight games since returning from the All-Star break and are 8-2 in their last 10 games.
Diamondbacks at Royals projected starters
LHP Jordan Montgomery vs. RHP Alec Marsh
Montgomery (6-5, 6.44 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.68 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 65 2/3 IP.
- Making return from injured list with knee injury
- Last start: Loss, 2 2/3 IP, 8 R (7 ER), 10 H, 1 BB, 1 K in 13-6 home loss to Minnesota Twins on June 27
- Is 0-1 with 5.74 ERA in 3 career starts vs. Royals
Marsh (7-6, 4.52 ERA) makes his 18th start and 19th appearance. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 91 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 6-4 road win over the St. Louis Cardinals on July 10
- Worked a scoreless inning of relief on Friday in a 7-1 win over Chicago White Sox
- Has never faced Diamondbacks
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Diamondbacks at Royals odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:37 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Royals +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks -1.5 (+135) | Royals +1.5 (-160)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Diamondbacks at Royals picks and predictions
Prediction
Diamondbacks 5, Royals 4
Moneyline
Montgomery has 5 starts allowing 4 or more runs. But Arizona has not lost 3 straight road games since dropping 4 straight May 28-31. The Diamondbacks have scored 5 or more runs in 7 of Montgomery’s last 8 outings.
The Royals’ 35 home wins are the 2nd-most in all of baseball. They are 12-6 in Marsh’s starts.
BET DIAMONDBACKS (-120).
Run line/Against the spread
Ten of the Diamondbacks’ last 12 wins have been by multiple runs, but 4 of their 8 wins when Montgomery pitches have been by only 1 run.
The Royals are 32-21 ATS at home, the best mark in the league.
I like the Diamondbacks to win but not to cover, and the -160 for the Royals to cover isn’t enough to bet.
PASS.
Over/Under
Seven of Arizona’s last 11 games have not reached 10 total runs, although the 2 teams combined for 14 in the opener.
Six of the Royals’ last 7 games have stayed Under 10 runs.
BET UNDER 9.5 (-105).
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