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The Arizona Diamondbacks (16-20) and Cincinnati Reds (16-19) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Diamondbacks lead 1-0
The Diamondbacks have won 2 games in a row after taking down the Reds 6-2 Tuesday and cashing as -130 road favorites. CF Corbin Carroll had 5 RBIs, including a 3-run home run, while RHP Zac Gallen pitched 6 scoreless innings to pick up the win.
Cincinnati has dropped 6 games in a row after Tuesday’s loss. Both of the Reds’ runs were solo shots from C Tyler Stephenson and 2B Jonathan India. RHP Frankie Montas allowed 1 earned run in 6 innings and picked up the loss.
Diamondbacks at Reds projected starters
LHP Jordan Montgomery vs. RHP Graham Ashcraft
Montgomery (1-2, 5.63 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 4.5 K/9 in 16 innings.
- Diamondbacks are 1-2 in his starts, including 0-2 in his previous 2
- Allowed 6 ER in his most recent start
- Has allowed 10 ER and 3 HR while striking out 8 and walking 4
Ashcraft (3-1, 3.63 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 34 2/3 innings.
- Reds are 3-3 in his starts, including 0-2 in his previous 2
- Has allowed 1 ER or fewer in back-to-back starts
- Has allowed 14 ER and 5 HR while striking out 30 and walking 9
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Diamondbacks at Reds odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:11 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Reds +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks -1.5 (+135) | Reds +1.5 (-165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Diamondbacks at Reds picks and predictions
Prediction
Reds 4, Diamondbacks 2
Moneyline
BET REDS (+100).
Ashcraft has allowed 1 earned run or fewer in each of his last 2 starts and 3 of his last 4. The Reds were tantalized by the bat of Carroll Tuesday, but held the rest of the Diamondbacks lineup in check.
Both Cincinnati runs were thanks to homers, which shows a bright spot in its recent offensive woes. Going up against Montgomery, who has struggled mightily this season, Cincinnati has a great opportunity to break its losing streak.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
There is no value on the run line in either direction.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 9 (-110).
Cincinnati’s offensive struggles combined with Ashcraft’s ability to keep runs off the board make the Under the best bet. The Diamondbacks have hit the Under in 7 of their last 10, including 4 of their last 6, while Cincinnati has hit the Under in 3 of its last 4.
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