The Arizona Diamondbacks (45-53) open a 6-game road trip Friday night with the 1st game of a 3-game series against the Atlanta Braves (59-41) First pitch is 7:20 p.m. ET at Truist Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Diamondbacks lead 2-1
The Diamondbacks are coming off a 3-game sweep over the San Francisco Giants. They are 5-1 since the All-Star Game and have won 6 of their last 7 games overall.
The Braves lost 2 of 3 games on the road against the Philadelphia Phillies. They are 3-3 since the All-Star break. They trail the NL East-leading New York Mets by 3 games.
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Diamondbacks at Braves projected starters
LHP Madison Bumgarner vs. RHP Kyle Wright
Bumgarner (6-9, 3.71 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 in 104 1/3 IP.
- Has had a decision in his last 11 starts. He has won 3 of his last 4.
- In June 1 start against the Braves, he took the loss in a 6-0 defeat with 6 IP, 2 R, 7 H, 2 BB and 6 K.
Wright (12-4, 2.95 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 116 IP.
- Was the starter when Braves beat Bumgarner with 6 IP, 0 R, 3 H, 5 BB and 5 K.
- He’s 8-1 in his last 10 starts. The Braves have won his last 6 starts and 9 of his last 10 outings.
Diamondbacks at Braves odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:13 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Diamondbacks +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Braves -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-117) | Braves -1.5 (-103)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)
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Diamondbacks at Braves picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 6, Diamondbacks 3
Money line
Arizona has struggled against winning teams this season and on the road. They are 15-29 against teams over .500 and 18-26 on the road. They have lost 15 of their last 21 road games.
The Braves’ 33 home wins are the 3rd-most in all of baseball and they have feasted on lesser teams. They are 39-19 against teams .500 or below.
But PASS on the money line at -220. It isn’t worth the action unless you include a Braves win in a parlay bet.
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Run line/Against the spread
The Diamondbacks are 57-41 ATS overall this season, tied for the 3rd-best ATS record. They are 26-18 ATS on the road and have covered the spread in 7 of their last 8 games.
The Braves are 51-49 ATS overall but a paltry 23-31 ATS at home. But their last 5 wins and 6 of their last 7 have been by at least 2 runs. In fact, of their last 19 wins, only 3 have been by only 1 run.
Take the BRAVES -1.5 (-103).
Over/Under
The Braves’ last 11 games have all had 9 total runs or more. Three of Wright’s last 4 outings have had 9 or more.
Only 7 of the D-backs’ last 17 games have had totals of 9 or more, but 3 of Bumgarner’s last 4 starts have had 9 or more.
Take OVER 8.5 (-130).
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