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The No. 7 Alabama Crimson Tide (8-2, 4-2 SEC) and Oklahoma Sooners (5-5, 1-5) meet Saturday. Kickoff from Memorial Stadium in Norman is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ABC/ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Alabama vs. Oklahoma odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Before the season, this game was circled as a potential marquee game. Alabama has 2 losses in the state of Tennessee, falling to the Vols and Vanderbilt Commodores. Meanwhile, Oklahoma’s first season in the SEC has it on the brink of not even becoming bowl eligible.
Alabama pasted FCS Mercer last week in the SEC’s annual November cupcake game, 52-7. Alabama has won and covered 3 in a row, with wins against LSU and Mizzou, too. The Under is 3-0 in the past 3 games against FBS opponents, too.
For Oklahoma, it was topped 30-23 by former Big 12 rival Mizzou last time out in Columbia, 30-23. It failed to cover as 3.5-point favorites in a wild seesaw affair. The Sooners have dropped 4 in a row against FBS opponents, while going 1-3 ATS in the span. The Over is 3-1 in the past 4 games, too, with the Sooners allowing 26 or more points in 4 straight games against the FBS.
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Alabama at Oklahoma odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 11:50 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Alabama -600 (bet $600 to win $100) | Oklahoma +425 (bet $100 to win $425)
- Against the spread: Alabama -13.5 (-115) | Oklahoma +13.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 46.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Alabama at Oklahoma picks and predictions
Prediction
Alabama 38, Oklahoma 18
Moneyline
Alabama (-600) will cost you 6 times your potential return, which is way too much risk for enough reward. There is never a reason to bet such heavy favorites, and over the long term it is a terrible betting strategy.
PASS.
Against the spread
Play ALABAMA -13.5 (-115), even though this is a big number. However, the Crimson Tide have a dynamic player in QB Jalen Milroe, and Alabama still has a good chance at a spot in the College Football Playoff.
Oklahoma +13.5 (-105), on the other hand, is simply struggling to attain bowl eligibility. It needs a win over either the Crimson Tide or Auburn Tigers, and that looks unlikely at this point.
Over/Under
OVER 46.5 (-110) might be the best play at this point.
Alabama has scored 34 or more points in each of the past 3 outings, and 8 of 10 games overall. Honestly, there is a good chance the Crimson Tide could take care of this Over all on its own, with very little assistance from the Sooners.
The worry is Alabama getting off to a slow start, and Oklahoma struggling against the Tide D. Alabama has allowed just 20 total points in the past 3 games, including a shutout win over Mizzou.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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