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The No. 22 North Carolina Tar Heels (4-3) welcome the No. 12 Alabama Crimson Tide (6-2) to Dean E. Smith Center Wednesday for the SEC/ACC Men’s Challenge. Tip is set for 7:15 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Alabama vs. North Carolina odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.
Alabama is No. 12 and North Carolina is No. 22 in the USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll.
The Crimson Tide lost 83-81 to the No. 10 Oregon Ducks in the Players Era Festival Championship Saturday, closing as a 7-point neutral-court favorite. They had won their previous 3 games, taking down the No. 17 Illinois Fighting Illini, the No. 18 Houston Cougars the Rutgers Scarlet Knights. Alabama is 2-3 against the spread (ATS) away from home and 3-5 ATS on the season.
The Tar Heels have lost 2 straight and are coming off a 94-91 overtime loss to the Michigan State Spartans Wednesday, closing as a 5-point neutral-court favorite. North Carolina has a 3-point road loss to the No. 1 Kansas Jayhawks and a 13-point neutral-court loss to the No. 2 Auburn Tigers. It is 1-1 ATS at home and 3-4 ATS on the season.
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Alabama at North Carolina odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds Lines last updated Tuesday at 11:40 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Alabama +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | North Carolina -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Alabama +2.5 (-115) | North Carolina -2.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 175.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Alabama at North Carolina picks and predictions
Prediction
North Carolina 88, Alabama 84
Moneyline
PASS.
The Dean E. Smith Center should be rocking, and North Carolina should come out on top. At -145, it isn’t worth playing on the moneyline over the marginal spread.
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Against the spread
BET NORTH CAROLINA -2.5 (-105).
North Carolina has lost to the best 2 teams in the country, but it has yet to play either at home. This is its first top-25 home battle, and it should have a significant advantage in front of a strong crowd. It is 2-0 straight up and 1-1 ATS at home.
The Crimson Tide have lost 2 of their last 5 games and lost their lone true road game, an 87-78 defeat at the Purdue Boilermakers. Alabama is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 contests. Its No. 1 scoring option, G Mark Sears, is shooting just 35.1% from the field.
Back the home side and take NORTH CAROLINA -2.5 (-105).
Over/Under
BET OVER 175.5 (-105).
Both teams are captained by guards and like to play at an ultra-fast pace. The Crimson Tide have scored 81 points or more in 4 straight games and have hit at least 95 points twice with all 4 games against Power 4 sides. Alabama is 3-1-1 O/U against Power 4 opponents.
The Tar Heels are 6-1 O/U and have scored at least 91 points twice in their last 3 games. They are 3-1 O/U in games with a single-digit spread. North Carolina has allowed at least 85 points in both top-25 games.
Take OVER 175.5 (-105).
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