Alabama at LSU odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Alabama at LSU odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Alabama Crimson Tide (6-2, 3-2 SEC) visit the LSU Tigers (6-2, 3-1) for a Saturday night Southeastern Conference battle in Baton Rouge. The key game at Tiger Stadium will kick off at 7:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Alabama vs. LSU odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.  ..

Alabama, which is No. 11 in the US LBM Coaches Poll, is coming off a bye. The Tide opened the season 4-0 and were ranked as high as No. 2, but have gone 2-2 in their last 4 games — losing at Vanderbilt Oct. 5 and at Tennessee Oct. 19. Saturday’s game at LSU will mark UA’s third consecutive matchup against a ranked foe.

No. 13 Louisiana State is also coming off a bye. The Tigers lost their last game (Oct. 26), which snapped a 6-game win streak. In that contest, LSU was undone by a minus-2 in turnovers in a 38-23 loss at then-No. 14 Texas A&M.

US LBM Coaches Poll: Conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

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Alabama at LSU odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Alabama -138 (bet $138 to win $100) | LSU +116 (bet $100 to win $116)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Alabama -2.5 (-120) | LSU +2.5 (-102)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 58.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Alabama at LSU picks and predictions

Prediction

Alabama 27, LSU 21

Moneyline

No interest. PASS.

Against the spread

The Tide has had some wonky October results heavily influenced by penalties and turnovers. UA’s pass defense is quite good, especially down-to-down. It has been burned by big plays, but as good as the LSU passing game is (332.8 yards per game), the Tigers are not high-frequency, explosive-play producers.

The chunk plays could be an problem on the other side of the ball, though. The Tiger defense has been burned time and again by explosive plays on the ground. That’s an area Alabama should be able to exploit.

Mix in a red-zone advantage for UA, and the Crimson Tide is the value side here. Some rain and wind in the forecast play into the edge for the Tide.

BACK ALABAMA -2.5 (-120).

Over/Under

This contest figures as a close one, but the weather could slow the scoring spiral. And Alabama is capable of grinding out some slow drives when needed.

Give the edge to the UNDER 58.5 (-110) here.

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