AFC Championship: Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs odds picks and best bets

Previewing Sunday’s AFC Championship between the Tennessee Titans and Kansas City Chiefs, with NFL betting odds, picks, tips and best bets.

The Tennesse Titans (9-7) visit Arrowhead Stadium to take on the Kansas City Chiefs (12-4) Sunday in the AFC Championship Game. Kickoff for this game is scheduled for 3:05 p.m. E.T. (on CBS). We analyze the Titans-Chiefs odds and sports betting lines while providing NFL betting picks, tips and analysis of this matchup.

Titans at Chiefs: AFC Championship preview, betting trends and notes

  • Tennessee has won seven of its last nine games, including two playoff wins over the New England Patriots (20-13) and Baltimore Ravens (28-12).
  • The Titans have covered the spread in their last five road games and four of their last five games against the Chiefs.

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  • The Titans have won four of their last five games against the Chiefs.
  • Kansas City has covered the spread in five straight contests.
  • The Under has hit in five of the last seven games involving the Chiefs.
  • The Chiefs have won their last six games against AFC opponents.

Titans at Chiefs: Key injuries

Titans

  • WR Adam Humphries (hamstring) questionable
  • LB Jayon Brown (knee) questionable
  • WR Cody Hollister (ankle) questionable

Chiefs

  • DT Chris Jones (calf) questionable
  • G Andrew Wylie (ankle) questionable
  • CB Morris Claiborne (shoulder) questionable

Titans at Chiefs: AFC Championship odds, betting lines and prediction

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 3:15 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Chiefs 27, Titans 17

Moneyline (?)

The CHIEFS (-334) are big moneyline favorites at home against the red-hot Titans. Despite the Titans defeating the Chiefs earlier this season (35-32 in Week 10), Kansas City’s offense is functioning at a much higher level now. While the odds aren’t fantastic, consider betting on the Chiefs to win straight up.

New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Chiefs to win returns a profit of $3.

Against the Spread (?)

The CHIEFS (-7.5, +100) open this game as a touchdown favorite over the Titans in the AFC Championship Game. While the Titans have certainly been impressive over the last month, the Chiefs have been pretty dominant as well. Kansas City has covered the spread in seven straight games as well as five-straight at home. If Kansas City can jump out to any sort of lead, Tennessee could have trouble keeping up. I like the Chiefs to win by double-digits Sunday as they move on to Super Bowl LIV.

Over/Under (?)

The total for the AFC Championship Game is set at 51.5 points, which feels far too high considering how Tennesee wants to play this game. The Titans are going to do everything in their power to shorten the game, which could limit the scoring opportunities for both teams. While betting the Under in a game featuring reigning MVP QB Patrick Mahomes is always dangerous, take the UNDER 51.5 (+105) in this contest.

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