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The Minnesota Timberwolves (14-14) and Dallas Mavericks (19-10) meet Wednesday in Christmas Day action. Tip-off from American Airlines Center is set for 2:30 p.m. ET (ABC/ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Timberwolves vs. Mavericks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Dallas leads 1-0 with 120-114 road win on Oct. 29
Minnesota lost 117-104 to the Atlanta Hawks Monday while failing to cover as a 3-point road favorite. The Wolves have lost 3 straight. The Timberwolves lost despite winning the turnover battle 23-21 and the rebounding battle 43-38 because of a terrible defensive outing, allowing the Hawks to shoot 53.4% from the field and 50% from deep.
Dallas dominated the Portland Trail Blazers 132-108 Monday while covering as a 12.5-point favorite. Luka Doncic put up 27 points in his return to the lineup after missing 2 games due to a heel injury. He was helped by 20 points from Kyrie Irving and 23 from Daniel Gafford. The Mavericks also won the turnover battle 19-11 against Portland.
Timberwolves at Mavericks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated Tuesday at 11:51 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Timberwolves +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Mavericks -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves +5.5 (-115) | Mavericks -5.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 221.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Timberwolves at Mavericks key injuries
Timberwolves
- None
Mavericks
- G Luka Doncic (heel) probable
- G Jaden Hardy (ankle) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Timberwolves at Mavericks picks and predictions
Prediction
Mavericks 113, Timberwolves 106
Moneyline
PASS.
Dallas is the much better team and will pick up the win here as a -210 favorite, but the Mavericks are not worth the risk of betting on as such heavy favorites. Bet on the spread and/or total instead.
Against the spread
BET MAVERICKS -5.5 (-105).
Dallas has covered the spread in its last 2 games and is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 outings. It also is 3-1 ATS in its last 4 home games. Meanwhile, Minnesota is an awful 11-17 ATS this season.
The Mavs are also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against the Timberwolves.
Be aware that G Anthony Edwards could put on a Christmas show for the fans, so his brilliance alone gives the T-wolves a chance to keep this game close.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 221.5 (-115).
The Under has hit in back-to-back games for Minnesota and is 8-2 in its last 10 games. For Dallas, the Under is 3-1 in its last 4 games.
Both Minnesota and Dallas are in the top half of the league defensively, with Dallas allowing just 112 points per game and Minnesota allowing just 107.2.
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