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In a 3-round featherweight bout on the main card, Cub Swanson and Billy Quarantillo battle Saturday at UFC on ESPN 63 at Amalie Arena in Tampa. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s UFC odds around the UFC on ESPN 63: Swanson vs. Quarantillo odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.
The prelims begin at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN2/ESPN+. The main card begins at 10 p.m. ET, also on ESPN2/ESPN+.
Records: Swanson (29-14-0) | Quarantillo (18-6-0)
Swanson is looking to bounce back after a split-decision in late June against Andre Fili at UFC 303. He is 2-3 in the past 5 fights, while going 4-7 in the past 11 bouts. His past 2 fights have ended up going the distance, while the 4 bouts prior ended up via KO/TKO.
Quarantillo suffered a second-round submission loss to Youssef Zalal last time out in late March, while going 3-4 in the past 7 fights. In his past 9 fights, he has ended up going the distance 4 times.
The 41-year-old Swanson has managed just 4.67 significant strikes landed per minute to 7.36 for Quarantillo. The 36-year-old fighter has also managed to land 64.16% of those strikes, while posting a 1.24 takedown average and 1.11 submission average.
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UFC on ESPN 63: Swanson vs. Quarantillo odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list UFC odds. Lines last updated at 3:20 p.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Swanson +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Quarantillo -154 (bet $154 to win $100)
- Total Rounds: 2.5 Rounds (Over: -144 | Under: +114)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -122 | No -104)
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UFC on ESPN 63: Swanson vs. Quarantillo picks and predictions
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
QUARANTILLO (-154) is a strong play as a moderate favorite against the aging veteran Swanson (+130).
Quarantillo has tremendous power, and he throws a ton of punches per minute, which also landing those strikes at a dizzying pace. In addition, he will go for takedowns, and he has a 1.11 submission average. He is 5-1 in his career via submission, and his specialty is the armbar or the rear-naked choke.
Over/Under (O/U)
NO (-104): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is a good play at near-even money.
Swanson has gone the distance in each of his past 2 fights, but prior to that he had 4 bouts end via KO/TKO, winning 2 and losing 2 of them.
For Quarantillo, he has managed to go the distance just once in the past 4 fights, while needing the judges in just 4 of his 10 fights since arriving at the UFC level.
UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (+114) at plus-money is worth a roll of the dice, too.
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