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The LA Galaxy face the New York Red Bulls in the MLS Cup Saturday from Dignity Health Sports Park in Los Angeles. Kickoff is set for 4 p.m. ET (Apple TV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s soccer odds around the LA Galaxy vs. New York Red Bulls odds, and make our best MLS picks and predictions.
The LA Galaxy finished 2nd in the Western Conference and had a +19 goal differential, tallying 69 goals and allowing 50 in 34 regular season matches. The Galaxy had a 13-3-1 home record, so they have dominated at Dignity Health Sports Park. Los Angeles has won all 4 postseason games, beating the Colorado Rapids a combined 9-1 in Round One, Minnesota United 6-2 in the semifinals and the Seattle Sounders 1-0 in the conference finals.
The Red Bulls are making a surprise appearance in this game, having finished 7th in the Eastern Conference. They had a +5 goal differential and ended with an 11-14-9 regular season record. New York took down the Columbus Crew in Round One, winning 1-0 on the road and then drawing 2-2 but advancing on penalty kicks at home. It then beat NYCFC 2-0 and Orlando City 1-0, both on the road. New York was led this season by F Lewis Morgan, who tallied 13 goals in 29 matches.
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LA Galaxy vs. New York Red Bulls odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of soccer odds. Lines last updated Friday at 2:09 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: LA Galaxy -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | New York Red Bulls +290 (bet $100 to win $290) | Draw +260 (bet $100 to win $260)
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -150 | U: +105)
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LA Galaxy vs. New York Red Bulls picks and predictions
Prediction
LA Galaxy 2, New York Red Bulls 0
Moneyline (ML)
BET LA GALAXY (-120).
The Galaxy have been on fire in the postseason and have consistently outperformed opponents at home. They have won 10 straight matches at home and have outscored opponents 12-2 at home in the playoffs. LA has impressively had at least double the expected goals of its opponent in 4 straight home games.
New York has won, but it has played 2 in a row on the road and has had fewer expected goals in both. Against NYCFC in the semifinals, it had just 1.0 expected goals while its opponent had 2.8. The Red Bulls didn’t perform well on the road in the regular season, scoring just 19 points in 17 matches.
Considering those trends, back LA GALAXY (-120).
Over/Under (O/U)
BET UNDER 2.5 (+105).
The Galaxy returned to a realistic level in the conference finals, winning 1-0. They had just 0.8 expected goals and allowed 0.4 expected goals. Los Angeles has allowed 0.4 expected goals or fewer in 3 of its last 4 games.
New York, which has gone Under this total in 2 straight matches and in 3 of its last 4, has had 1.0 or fewer expected goals in 3 of 4 playoff games. The Red Bulls have 3 clean sheets in those games as well.
Both defenses have performed as of late. Play UNDER 2.5 (+105).
Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.
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