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The Boston Celtics (16-4) welcome the Miami Heat (16-4) to TD Garden Monday. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Heat vs. Celtics odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Celtics won 3-0 in ’23-24 regular season and 4-1 in first round of playoffs
Miami snapped a 2-game winning streak with a 119-116 loss as a 4.5-point favorite at the Toronto Raptors Sunday. G Tyler Herro scored a team-high 31 points while C Bam Adebayo (13 points, 20 rebounds) had a double-double.
Boston snapped a 7-game winning streak with a 115-111 loss as a 1.5-point underdog at the Cleveland Cavaliers Sunday. F Jayson Tatum had a team-high 33 points and was 1 of 3 Celtics players who scored 21 or more.
Heat at Celtics odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 10:25 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Heat +375 (bet $100 to win $375) | Celtics -500 (bet $500 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Heat +10.5 (-115) | Celtics -10.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 220.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Heat at Celtics key injuries
Heat
(Not yet submitted — below was for Sunday’s game)
- None
Celtics
(Not yet submitted — below was for Sunday’s game)
- G Jaylen Brown (illness) out
- G Derrick White (foot) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Heat at Celtics picks and predictions
Prediction
Celtics 116, Heat 109
Moneyline
PASS.
There is no value on the Celtics (-500), who are 7-2 at home this season.
Against the spread
BET HEAT +10.5 (-115).
Boston has failed to cover the spread in 6 of its last 7 games, including 4 of its last 5 at home and 3 of its last 4 as a double-digit favorite.
Three of Miami’s last 4 losses have been by 3 or fewer points, while it has covered as an underdog in 2 of its last 3.
Over/Under
BET OVER 220.5 (-110).
This number is a little low considering Boston is 3rd in offensive efficiency this season.
The Celtics have hit the Over in 2 of their last 3 games. They’ve scored 111 or more points in 8 of their last 10 games, including 120 or more in 5 of their last 8.
The Heat have hit the Over in back-to-back games and scored 116 or more points in 5 of their last 9.
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