Miami Heat at Charlotte Hornets odds, picks and predictions

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The Charlotte Hornets (6-11) welcome the Miami Heat (7-8) to the Spectrum Center Wednesday. Tip is set for 7 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Heat vs. Hornets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Heat lead 1-0 with 114-106 win in Charlotte on Oct. 25

The Heat lost to the Milwaukee Bucks 106-103 Tuesday, closing as a 5.5-point home favorite. They were led by F Jimmy Butler, who notched 23 points on 6-for-12 shooting. Miami has won 4 of its last 7 games and is 4-3 against the spread (ATS) in those. It is 7-8 ATS on the season.

The Hornets lost to the Orlando Magic 95-84 Monday, closing as a 5-point home underdog. They were led by G LaMelo Ball, who tallied a game-high 44 points on 17-for-30 shooting. Charlotte has lost 4 of its last 5 games and 6 of its last 8. It is 5-3 ATS in those eight and 10-7 ATS on the season.

Heat at Hornets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated Tuesday at 11:51 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Heat -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Hornets +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
Against the spread (ATS): Heat -3.5 (-110) | Hornets +3.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 218.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Heat at Hornets key injuries

Heat

(Not yet submitted — below was for Tuesday’s game)

G Terry Rozier (foot) available

Hornets

F Miles Bridges (knee) out
C Nick Richards (rib) out
F Grant Williams (ACL) out
C Mark Williams (foot) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Heat at Hornets picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 111, Hornets 109

Moneyline

PASS.

The Hornets (+135) haven’t won consistently enough to back here, but they have covered at a high rate. Similarly, the Heat (-160) are too pricey to take here given their struggles this season.

Avoid this play and look to the spread for value.

Against the spread

BET HORNETS +3.5 (-110).

The Hornets are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games and 5-4 ATS at home. Charlotte struggled offensively Monday, but had scored at least 114 points in its 5 games prior. It should be able to bounce back at home.

The Heat have tallied 110 or fewer points in 3 of their last 4 games. While their focal point has been the other end of the court over the last few years, they have allowed at least 111 points in 4 of their last 6. Miami is 2-3 ATS in its last 5 road games.

With those trends in mind, take HORNETS +3.5 (-110).

Over/Under

BET OVER 218.5 (-105).

The Heat are 4-2 O/U in their last 6 games and 6-3 O/U in their last 9. Miami has scored at least 110 points in 6 of those 9 games as well.

Charlotte has gone Over in 5 of its last 6 games. It has been awful defensively, allowing at least 114 points in 5 of those 6 contests. Given how the Hornets have played lately, assume more points will be scored and BACK OVER 218.5 (-105).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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