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The Dallas Mavericks (8-7) lock up in NBA Cup play against the Denver Nuggets (8-5) Friday at Ball Arena. Tip-off is set for 10 p.m. ET. (ESPN) Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Mavericks vs. Nuggets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Nuggets lead 1-0
The Mavs won their third straight with a 132-91 victory over the New Orleans Pelicans Tuesday. Seven players scored in double figures, and G Luka Doncic led the way with 26 points. He’ll miss this game with a wrist ailment. The 3-game winning streak is on the heels of a 4-game losing streak. The Mavs pushed as 2-point dogs in Denver Nov. 10, as they lost 122-120.
C Nikola Jokic has missed 3 straight games, and his status is unknown for this game. G Jamal Murray had 27 points and went 5-for-10 from downtown in a Tuesday win at the Memphis Grizzlies 122-110 as 6-point dogs. F Michael Porter Jr. also had 24 points and 11 boards despite going 0-for-4 from distance.
Mavericks at Nuggets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 2:31 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mavericks +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Nuggets -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Mavericks +2.5 (-105) | Nuggets -2.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 224.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Mavericks at Nuggets key injuries
Mavericks
- G Luka Doncic (wrist) out
Nuggets
- F Aaron Gordon (calf) out
- C Nikola Jokic (personal) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Mavericks at Nuggets picks and predictions
Prediction
Nuggets 118, Mavericks 111
Moneyline
The big question is whether Jokic, who hasn’t played in almost 2 weeks, makes it back in the lineup. Either way, I like the Nuggets at home, but I’m more than willing to lay the points.
Instead, I’ll take KYRIE IRVING OVER 2.5 3-POINTERS (-130). He was 6-for-8 from downtown against the Nuggets earlier this month. He’s 7-for-11 (63.6%) over the last 2 games.
Against the spread
Denver has won 4 of the last 5 meetings, and the Nuggets are 3-1-1 ATS in those.
Take the NUGGETS -2.5 (-115).
Over/Under
The Mavs are 4-5-1 O/U in their last 10, and the Nuggets are 8-2. The Over is 5-5 and pretty hit or miss in this matchup.
I think the books want you to think Under here. I don’t, though. Denver dropped 122 on Memphis in the last game, and Jokic has prop bets available. That could mean he’s more probable than questionable.
I like the OVER 224.5 (-110).
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