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The New England Patriots (3-7) will host the Los Angeles Rams (4-5) Sunday afternoon at Gillette Stadium, a Week 11 matchup between 2 teams that have met in the Super Bowl twice before. Kickoff will be at 1 p.m. ET (FOX) from Foxborough, Mass. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Rams vs. Patriots odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Rams had won 3 games in a row before losing to the Miami Dolphins Monday night, a 23-15 defeat in which they scored zero touchdowns. It was the 1st time all season that the Rams didn’t find the end zone, and they lost despite outgaining the Dolphins, 327-238. The Rams now sit in last place in the NFC West, a game-and-a-half behind the division-leading Arizona Cardinals.
The Patriots are building some momentum after winning 2 of their last 3 games, including a 19-3 victory on the road against the Chicago Bears last week. Rookie QB Drake Maye is getting comfortable under center for New England and his mobility has helped keep the chains moving (38.8 rushing yards per game).
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Rams at Patriots odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 1:55 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Rams -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Patriots +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
- Against the spread (ATS): Rams -4.5 (-110) | Patriots +4.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 43.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Rams at Patriots key injuries
Rams
- DT Neville Gallimore (neck) out
- RT Rob Havenstein (ankle) out
- OL Joe Noteboom (ankle) doubtful
Patriots
- S Kyle Dugger (ankle) probable
- TE Hunter Henry (foot) probable
- DE Deatrich Wise Jr. (foot) questionable
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Rams at Patriots picks and predictions
Prediction
Rams 24, Patriots 17
Moneyline
The Rams aren’t a trustworthy enough team to take on the money line, especially at a number like -225 on the road. PASS.
Against the spread
In Sean McVay’s career since 2017, the Rams are 10-3 in games in the Eastern time zone that kick off at 1 p.m. The Rams have won 4 of those games by at least 20 points and 2 others by at least 8 points.
They excel in these cross-country games, and even though they’re on slightly less rest than the Patriots, they’re going to get the job done and beat the Patriots by 5-plus points. BET RAMS -4.5 (-110).
Over/Under
With how inconsistent the Rams’ offense has been and the Patriots’ sheer inability to score points in bunches, this should be a lower-scoring game. The Rams can be susceptible to big plays in the passing game, particularly in the first quarter when they’re settling in, but if they can eliminate those lapses in coverage, they’ll keep the Patriots offense in check.
BET UNDER 43.5 (-110).
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