San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Dallas Mavericks (5-7) welcome the San Antonio Spurs (6-7) to the American Airlines Center Saturday. Tip-off is set for 8:30 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Spurs vs. Mavericks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mavericks lead 1-0

The Spurs lost to the Los Angeles Lakers 120-115 Friday, closing as 2.5-point home underdogs. They were led by C Victor Wembanyama, who went for 28 points on 12-of-25 shooting. The Spurs snapped a 2-game winning streak with the loss. San Antonio is 3-2 straight up over its last 5 but just 2-3 against the spread (ATS).

The Mavericks, who return home after 3 straight away games, lost to the Utah Jazz 115-113 Friday, closing as 8-point road favorites. They were led by G Luka Doncic, who dropped 37 points. Dallas has lost 4 in a row and is just 2-6 in its last 8 games. It is 4-7-1 ATS on the season.

Spurs at Mavericks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 12:25 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Spurs +375 (bet $100 to win $375) | Mavericks -500 (bet $500 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Spurs +10.5 (-110) | Mavericks -10.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 229.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Spurs at Mavericks key injuries

Spurs

(Not yet submitted — below was for Friday’s game)

  • F Tre Jones (ankle) out
  • F Jeremy Sochan (thumb) out

Mavericks

  • F Luka Doncic (knee) probable
  • F P.J. Washington (knee) doubtful

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Spurs at Mavericks picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 118, Spurs 112

Moneyline

PASS.

There’s no value here. The Mavericks (-500) are the better side and have the rest advantage, but they are too expensive to play on the ML.

Against the spread

BET SPURS +10.5 (-110).

The Spurs are 1-0 ATS this season as double-digit underdogs, and they are 5-5 ATS in their last 10. San Antonio has scored at least 110 points — and hasn’t lost by double digits — in 5 straight games.

The Mavericks have dropped 4 straight games, including their last home game (114-113 vs. the Phoenix Suns Nov. 8). They are just 2-3 straight up/ATS in their last 5 at home. Dallas’ defense has struggled lately, as well, allowing at least 114 points per game over its last 4.

Take SPURS +10.5 (-110).

Over/Under

BET OVER 229.5 (-110).

The Mavericks have gone Over in 2 of their last 3 games and scored at least 113 points in 6 in a row. Dallas has allowed at least 120 in 2 of its last 3.

The Spurs are 2-0 O/U in their last 2 games and 6-2 O/U in their last 8. They’ve scored at least 110 points in 5 straight games and allowed at least 120 in their last 2. Considering those trends, especially on the defensive end, back OVER 229.5 (-110).

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